TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057312
Played Sep 1Finished
Szymon Brud
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111012117811––
Gracjan Kesik
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:43 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeSzymon Brud to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
8111012117811––
H2H Szymon Brud 7–4 Gracjan Kesik Gracjan Kesik has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:43What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Brud
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Brud
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brud 1443 vs Kesik 1495
Kesik
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brud 40% vs Kesik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brud 30% vs Kesik 50%
Kesik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brud -2 · Kesik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Brud) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brud form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrud 1.60 / Kesik 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Brud)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13057312
Brud1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 184 of 290
Up 2–0, closes it94% 80 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it79% 128 of 162
Kesik2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 64 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back35% 26 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrud6wins
AwayKesik4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBrud leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrud75%3 of 4
AwayKesik50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brud4Kesik6n = 10Kesik took 6 of 10
S2Brud3Kesik7n = 10Kesik took 7 of 10
S3Brud6Kesik4n = 10Brud took 6 of 10
S4Brud5Kesik3n = 8Brud took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrudKesikB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.136.6+0.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrudKesikBasisWin rate · lifetime618 / 1216 vs 313 / 58050.8%54%618 / 1216 vs 313 / 580Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrudBrud 1.60/Kesik 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.3%
Brud · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kesik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 13:05S. Brud—118981G. Kesik—91111113
LSep 1 · 06:50S. Brud—8101181G. Kesik—11127113
WMay 30 · 19:00S. Brud—51111113G. Kesik—115851
LMay 29 · 17:20S. Brud—8630G. Kesik—1111113
LFeb 19 · 16:25S. Brud—6650G. Kesik—1111113
WFeb 6 · 23:55S. Brud—119119113G. Kesik—51171122
WJan 31 · 20:00S. Brud—11715113G. Kesik—7111381
WDec 28 · 12:30S. Brud—711811113G. Kesik—11611872
WOct 19 · 02:20S. Brud—11511113G. Kesik—711941
WOct 18 · 23:55S. Brud—81111153G. Kesik—1178131
S. Brud10
WSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:40A. Szoltysek2.7557110S. Brud1.381111133WSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590WSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110LSep 2 · 13:55J. Glanowski1.851111113S. Brud1.858890LSep 2 · 13:05B. Kwodawski2.851111113S. Brud1.357960WSep 2 · 12:15S. Brud1.39811139113M. Zwolinski2.70117111162WSep 2 · 10:35S. Brud1.901111113R. Stapor1.809730WSep 2 · 09:50K. Rudomina2.1511119772S. Brud1.61981111113WSep 2 · 08:30S. Brud1.8561111113M. Minda1.85119781
G. Kesik10
LSep 1 · 14:40G. Kesik1.861590B. Czerwinski1.811111113WSep 1 · 13:05G. Kesik2.2291111113S. Brud1.57118981WSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 10:10G. Kesik1.991011911102P. Blocho1.70129115123LSep 1 · 09:00G. Kesik1.83311591K. Rudomina1.8311811113LSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780LSep 1 · 06:00G. Kesik1.858770A. Sobel1.851111113LSep 1 · 04:25G. Kesik2.4011118832J. Zochniak1.50491111113WSep 1 · 03:40M. Minda1.46127311102G. Kesik2.461011115123WAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751
Upcoming Matches
S. Brud
G. Kesik
Nothing scheduled
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