TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13073968
Played Sep 4Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811911116117711
Maciej Kolek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatryk Jendrzejewski above · Maciej Kolek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 92 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Maciej Kolek at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 12–11 Maciej Kolek Maciej Kolek has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:06What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1699 vs Kolek 1613
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 80% vs Kolek 40%
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 50% vs Kolek 70%
Kolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski +1 · Kolek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 1.61 / Kolek 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13073968
Jendrzejewski1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 151 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it96% 66 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it80% 114 of 143
Kolek2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 185 of 476
Down 0–1, comes back21% 58 of 283
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski5wins
AwayKolek5wins
8 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewski60%3 of 5
AwayKolek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski5Kolek5n = 10split evenly
S2Jendrzejewski5Kolek5n = 10split evenly
S3Jendrzejewski5Kolek5n = 10split evenly
S4Jendrzejewski5Kolek5n = 10split evenly
S5Jendrzejewski4Kolek4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiKolekJ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.944.0+0.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 694 vs 675 / 136249.3%49.6%342 / 694 vs 675 / 1362Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiJendrzejewski 1.61/Kolek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 21:50P. Jendrzejewski—710111162M. Kolek—111287113
WAug 5 · 23:20P. Jendrzejewski—118117113M. Kolek—71181182
LAug 5 · 20:30P. Jendrzejewski—711111192M. Kolek—117137113
WJul 23 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski—1110118113M. Kolek—51281182
WJul 22 · 22:05P. Jendrzejewski—9111110113M. Kolek—11861272
LJul 22 · 15:00P. Jendrzejewski—117761M. Kolek—71111113
LJul 4 · 24:45P. Jendrzejewski—61191152M. Kolek—119116113
LJul 3 · 22:30P. Jendrzejewski—118111062M. Kolek—911512113
WJul 2 · 23:15P. Jendrzejewski—711311113M. Kolek—11611532
WJul 2 · 21:00P. Jendrzejewski—11118123M. Kolek—8811101
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.8391060P. Jendrzejewski1.831112113LSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150
M. Kolek10
WSep 5 · 01:10M. Rutkowski1.57812111192M. Kolek2.251110139113LSep 5 · 24:45M. Kolek3.0088121162J. Kuzmicz1.361111108113WSep 4 · 23:55M. Kolek2.1011911113T. Filbrandt1.67411791LSep 4 · 22:05M. Kolek2.38791121P. Jendrzejewski1.5311116113LSep 4 · 21:20T. Filbrandt1.6711411113M. Kolek2.10711491LSep 4 · 20:30M. Rutkowski1.57101211113M. Kolek2.251210961WSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113LSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921LSep 4 · 24:35M. Kolek2.63831191M. Rutkowski1.4411116113WSep 3 · 23:45J. Glanowski2.2561060M. Kolek1.571112113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.