TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13069379
Played Sep 3Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9114111012––––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:08 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
9114111012––––
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 17–13 Rafal Stapor Rafal Stapor has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-13 in 30
Sulkowski
Wrong
gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1382 vs Stapor 1469
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 80% vs Stapor 60%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 60% vs Stapor 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +4 · Stapor +1
Sulkowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.80 / Stapor 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stapor)+4.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13069379
Sulkowski1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 208 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it98% 93 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it82% 151 of 184
Stapor1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 105 of 282
Down 0–1, comes back17% 30 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski5wins
AwayStapor5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski100%5 of 5
AwayStapor100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S2Sulkowski5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S3Sulkowski4Stapor6n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Sulkowski3Stapor2n = 5Sulkowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiStaporSulkowski − StaporBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.032.00.0per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime528 / 1203 vs 635 / 112043.9%56.7%528 / 1203 vs 635 / 1120Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporSulkowski 1.80/Stapor 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 06:05B. Sulkowski—94100R. Stapor—1111123
WAug 27 · 14:20B. Sulkowski—11115133R. Stapor—5511111
LAug 26 · 09:25B. Sulkowski—9920R. Stapor—1111113
WAug 23 · 21:55B. Sulkowski—11128113R. Stapor—7101141
WAug 22 · 15:00B. Sulkowski—1111123R. Stapor—47100
LAug 20 · 14:40B. Sulkowski—8390R. Stapor—1111113
WAug 19 · 09:25B. Sulkowski—111111113R. Stapor—881361
LAug 13 · 11:50B. Sulkowski—751251R. Stapor—111110113
WAug 12 · 13:55B. Sulkowski—1111113R. Stapor—6960
LAug 10 · 08:10B. Sulkowski—991161R. Stapor—11113113
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113LSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143WSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 5 · 23:20A. Lilien1.62711781B. Sulkowski2.1511711113
R. Stapor10
WSep 3 · 13:55A. Mugowski2.5094100R. Stapor1.471111123LSep 3 · 13:05M. Kolek1.5012115123R. Stapor2.4010911101LSep 3 · 12:15R. Stapor2.156118101J. Witkowski1.6011711123LSep 3 · 10:35R. Stapor1.86118111192B. Czerwinski1.80611813113WSep 3 · 09:50A. Lilien1.65613481R. Stapor2.07111111113LSep 3 · 08:35A. Mugowski2.1511511113R. Stapor1.60411961WSep 3 · 07:20R. Stapor1.3891115113S. Wnek2.751151381WSep 3 · 04:55K. Klocek2.006101161R. Stapor1.7011125113LSep 3 · 03:25M. Lukaszewski3.60111111113R. Stapor1.26713891WSep 2 · 14:20K. Rudomina1.411213781R. Stapor2.60141111113
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