TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13089589
Played Sep 7Finished
Adam Linek
Home
1.97
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311611611811––
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
1.71
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1311611611811––
H2H Adam Linek 16–18 Bartosz Sulkowski Adam Linek has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:44What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-18 in 34
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Linek 1447 vs Sulkowski 1429
Linek
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Linek 80% vs Sulkowski 60%
Linek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Linek 50% vs Sulkowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Linek +2 · Sulkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Linek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLinek 1.97 / Sulkowski 1.71
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sulkowski)+0.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13089589
Linek1.97
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 167 of 404
Down 0–1, comes back25% 55 of 222
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 109
Sulkowski1.71
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 211 of 362
Up 2–0, closes it98% 96 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it82% 154 of 188
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLinek6wins
AwaySulkowski4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLinek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLinek60%3 of 5
AwaySulkowski40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Linek5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Linek6Sulkowski4n = 10Linek took 6 of 10
S3Linek7Sulkowski3n = 10Linek took 7 of 10
S4Linek6Sulkowski3n = 9Linek took 6 of 9
S5Linek1Sulkowski3n = 4Sulkowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLinekSulkowskiL − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.541.9+0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLinekSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime771 / 1658 vs 539 / 122046.5%44.2%771 / 1658 vs 539 / 1220Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiLinek 1.97/Sulkowski 1.71
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 04:55A. Linek—81211113B. Sulkowski—1110891
WAug 23 · 23:20A. Linek—1111113B. Sulkowski—5990
LAug 23 · 20:30A. Linek—1131110132B. Sulkowski—611912153
LAug 22 · 21:55A. Linek—6111251B. Sulkowski—111310113
LAug 14 · 13:30A. Linek—13991242B. Sulkowski—11111110113
WAug 9 · 24:35A. Linek—13711113B. Sulkowski—1111951
WJul 2 · 06:05A. Linek—712114113B. Sulkowski—111091192
WJul 2 · 03:50A. Linek—11116113B. Sulkowski—791181
LJun 26 · 09:25A. Linek—1211811102B. Sulkowski—148113123
WJun 25 · 13:30A. Linek—81113113B. Sulkowski—1171181
A. Linek10
WSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113WSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842LSep 6 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.9091111113A. Linek1.75115821WAug 25 · 13:55A. Linek2.251111412113A. Sobel1.5426111482WAug 25 · 12:40A. Linek2.23911116113P. Blocho1.5611941142LAug 25 · 11:25A. Linek2.1510750A. Lilien1.601211113LAug 25 · 10:10L. Pietraszko1.37118811113A. Linek2.7571111792WAug 25 · 09:25A. Linek1.951211113B. Czerwinski1.7510590LAug 25 · 08:35J. Glanowski1.501161111163A. Linek2.35911813142LAug 25 · 07:20A. Linek1.861365151K. Rudomina1.83111111173
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113LSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143WSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 5 · 23:20A. Lilien1.62711781B. Sulkowski2.1511711113WSep 5 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski2.9541013111B. Sulkowski1.35111211133
Upcoming Matches
A. Linek
Nothing scheduled
B. Sulkowski
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