TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091876
Played Sep 7Finished
Miroslav Sklensky
Home
1.35
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711112911114113
Karol Wisniewski
Away
2.95
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 77.3% is still 77.3%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Sklensky to win
77.3%
77.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
711112911114113
H2H Miroslav Sklensky 78–13 Karol Wisniewski Karol Wisniewski has won 13 of their 91 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Sklensky beat Wisniewski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (69%)
Sklensky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
78-13 in 91
Sklensky
Correct
gap of 65 in 91, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sklensky 1771 vs Wisniewski 1606
Sklensky
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sklensky 60% vs Wisniewski 20%
Sklensky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sklensky 80% vs Wisniewski 20%
Sklensky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sklensky -2 · Wisniewski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Sklensky) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSklensky 1.35 / Wisniewski 2.95
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Sklensky)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13091876
Sklensky1.35
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 228 of 344
Up 2–0, closes it95% 122 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it83% 165 of 198
Wisniewski2.95
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 238 of 618
Down 0–1, comes back19% 71 of 379
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 224
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSklensky9wins
AwayWisniewski1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSklensky leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSklensky100%6 of 6
AwayWisniewski25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sklensky6Wisniewski4n = 10Sklensky took 6 of 10
S2Sklensky8Wisniewski2n = 10Sklensky took 8 of 10
S3Sklensky4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S4Sklensky5Wisniewski2n = 7Sklensky took 5 of 7
S5Sklensky4Wisniewski0n = 4Sklensky took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSklenskyWisniewskiS − WBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.734.1+7.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSklenskyWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime683 / 1149 vs 1001 / 220359.4%45.4%683 / 1149 vs 1001 / 2203Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SklenskySklensky 1.35/Wisniewski 2.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.9%
Sklensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sklensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky—11118113K. Wisniewski—761171
WSep 1 · 09:45M. Sklensky—881211113K. Wisniewski—111110992
WAug 31 · 13:50M. Sklensky—111210113K. Wisniewski—7101281
WAug 25 · 13:00M. Sklensky—111199113K. Wisniewski—84111172
WAug 24 · 09:45M. Sklensky—111198113K. Wisniewski—28111162
WAug 20 · 12:10M. Sklensky—1113113K. Wisniewski—41130
WAug 3 · 12:10M. Sklensky—813911113K. Wisniewski—111111882
WJul 27 · 13:50M. Sklensky—1111113K. Wisniewski—4730
WJul 20 · 10:55M. Sklensky—81112113K. Wisniewski—1131061
LJul 14 · 11:45M. Sklensky—4690K. Wisniewski—1111113
M. Sklensky10
LSep 7 · 11:20M. Sklensky2.327820K. Wloczko1.521111113LSep 7 · 10:05K. Strowski1.43119116123M. Sklensky2.60911511102WSep 7 · 09:20M. Sklensky2.301371110123K. Glazowski1.531111712102WSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.3711118113K. Wisniewski2.80761171WSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.42111111113J. Zochniak2.60471351WSep 7 · 03:00M. Sklensky—1111613113D. Solilo—46111572WSep 1 · 20:05K. Glazowski2.20118881M. Sklensky1.6121111113WSep 1 · 19:15M. Olbrycht3.259570M. Sklensky1.331111113
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 7 · 11:45K. Strowski1.471113123K. Wisniewski2.45911100LSep 7 · 10:55K. Wisniewski2.759811101K. Glazowski1.4011118123WSep 7 · 09:45K. Wisniewski2.331111313123G. Poliniewicz1.51891115102LSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.3711118113K. Wisniewski2.80761171LSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113LSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591LSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131WSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192LSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100
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