TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053337
Played Sep 1Finished
Michal Olbrycht
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511711––––
Miroslav Sklensky
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Sklensky to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Olbrycht above · Miroslav Sklensky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Miroslav Sklensky at 58.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Michal Olbrycht 2–10 Miroslav Sklensky Michal Olbrycht has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Sklensky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-10 in 12
Sklensky
Correct
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Olbrycht 1643 vs Sklensky 1735
Sklensky
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olbrycht 60% vs Sklensky 20%
Olbrycht
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olbrycht 50% vs Sklensky 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Olbrycht +1 · Sklensky -4
Sklensky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Sklensky) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sklensky form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlbrycht 3.25 / Sklensky 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Sklensky)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13053337
Olbrycht3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 94 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back19% 28 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 73
Sklensky1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 226 of 346
Up 2–0, closes it95% 122 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it82% 165 of 202
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOlbrycht2wins
AwaySklensky8wins
Sklensky leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOlbrychtn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySklensky100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Olbrycht2Sklensky8n = 10Sklensky took 8 of 10
S2Olbrycht1Sklensky9n = 10Sklensky took 9 of 10
S3Olbrycht4Sklensky6n = 10Sklensky took 6 of 10
S4Olbrycht1Sklensky2n = 3Sklensky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricOlbrychtSklenskyO − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match27.033.6−6.6per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlbrychtSklenskyBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 758 vs 683 / 115046.8%59.4%355 / 758 vs 683 / 1150Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SklenskyOlbrycht 3.25/Sklensky 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Sklensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sklensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 21 · 09:30M. Olbrycht—11511113M. Sklensky—411651
LApr 21 · 03:30M. Olbrycht—751151M. Sklensky—11119113
LApr 20 · 14:45M. Olbrycht—991151M. Sklensky—11119113
LApr 20 · 03:55M. Olbrycht—9930M. Sklensky—1111113
WOct 6 · 16:20M. Olbrycht—1111123M. Sklensky—78100
LJul 30 · 10:40M. Olbrycht—9990M. Sklensky—1111113
LMay 16 · 14:45M. Olbrycht—9440M. Sklensky—1111113
LApr 30 · 09:05M. Olbrycht—98100M. Sklensky—1111123
LFeb 26 · 15:00M. Olbrycht—11960M. Sklensky—1311113
LFeb 26 · 09:45M. Olbrycht—3780M. Sklensky—1111113
M. Olbrycht10
WSep 3 · 24:35M. Rutkowski1.83911861M. Olbrycht1.8311711113LSep 2 · 22:55J. Kuzmicz1.3612119113M. Olbrycht3.001091131WSep 2 · 22:10L. Pietraszko2.108330M. Olbrycht1.671111113WSep 2 · 21:25J. Chmielowski2.20118871M. Olbrycht1.6171111113WSep 2 · 20:05M. Olbrycht1.83611116113K. Kapik1.8311981182LSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:40L. Pietraszko2.001211113M. Olbrycht1.7310660LSep 2 · 16:55M. Olbrycht1.73912111162J. Chmielowski2.00111498113WSep 2 · 15:45M. Olbrycht1.7391211113J. Witkowski2.001110471LSep 2 · 24:10M. Olbrycht2.00128781M. Rutkowski1.73101111113
M. Sklensky10
WSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.3711118113K. Wisniewski2.80761171WSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.42111111113J. Zochniak2.60471351WSep 7 · 03:00M. Sklensky—1111613113D. Solilo—46111572WSep 1 · 20:05K. Glazowski2.20118881M. Sklensky1.6121111113LSep 1 · 17:20K. Strowski1.611111113M. Sklensky2.208470LSep 1 · 16:30L. Jarocki1.83881111113M. Sklensky1.8311115492LSep 1 · 15:00A. Spychala2.2571111113M. Sklensky1.57117951LSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113
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