TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059487
Played Sep 2Finished
Lukasz Pietraszko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811311311––––
Michal Olbrycht
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Pietraszko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukasz Pietraszko above · Michal Olbrycht below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 47 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Lukasz Pietraszko at 54.0%
47 points played in total.
H2H Lukasz Pietraszko 4–6 Michal Olbrycht Lukasz Pietraszko has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:33What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Olbrycht
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Olbrycht
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pietraszko 1607 vs Olbrycht 1651
Olbrycht
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pietraszko 40% vs Olbrycht 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pietraszko 60% vs Olbrycht 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pietraszko -2 · Olbrycht +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Olbrycht) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olbrycht form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPietraszko 2.10 / Olbrycht 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Olbrycht)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13059487
Pietraszko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 95 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back20% 28 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 88
Olbrycht1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 94 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it83% 70 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePietraszko4wins
AwayOlbrycht6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderOlbrycht leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePietraszko66.7%2 of 3
AwayOlbrycht71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pietraszko3Olbrycht7n = 10Olbrycht took 7 of 10
S2Pietraszko4Olbrycht6n = 10Olbrycht took 6 of 10
S3Pietraszko6Olbrycht4n = 10Pietraszko took 6 of 10
S4Pietraszko5Olbrycht4n = 9Pietraszko took 5 of 9
S5Pietraszko3Olbrycht3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPietraszkoOlbrychtP − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.243.2−2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPietraszkoOlbrychtBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 843 vs 358 / 76350.3%46.9%424 / 843 vs 358 / 763Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlbrychtPietraszko 2.10/Olbrycht 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Olbrycht · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Olbrycht won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 17:40L. Pietraszko—1211113M. Olbrycht—10660
LAug 19 · 23:20L. Pietraszko—4117101M. Olbrycht—11811123
WAug 19 · 16:55L. Pietraszko—145911113M. Olbrycht—121111642
LAug 12 · 23:20L. Pietraszko—481191M. Olbrycht—11117113
WAug 12 · 20:30L. Pietraszko—491111113M. Olbrycht—11115952
WJul 23 · 16:55L. Pietraszko—751212163M. Olbrycht—11111010142
LApr 20 · 06:10L. Pietraszko—1111851M. Olbrycht—91311113
LFeb 24 · 07:35L. Pietraszko—61111972M. Olbrycht—113911113
LFeb 3 · 11:20L. Pietraszko—831511112M. Olbrycht—1111138133
LJan 6 · 15:45L. Pietraszko—71161142M. Olbrycht—114115113
L. Pietraszko10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123WSep 6 · 21:25K. Kapik1.671091181L. Pietraszko2.1012119113LSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143WSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:55L. Pietraszko1.831111123K. Kapik1.8362100WSep 6 · 15:45L. Pietraszko1.73961111113J. Zochniak2.0011119562LSep 2 · 23:20J. Chmielowski1.67117911153L. Pietraszko2.10811116132
M. Olbrycht10
WSep 3 · 24:35M. Rutkowski1.83911861M. Olbrycht1.8311711113LSep 2 · 22:55J. Kuzmicz1.3612119113M. Olbrycht3.001091131WSep 2 · 21:25J. Chmielowski2.20118871M. Olbrycht1.6171111113WSep 2 · 20:05M. Olbrycht1.83611116113K. Kapik1.8311981182LSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:40L. Pietraszko2.001211113M. Olbrycht1.7310660LSep 2 · 16:55M. Olbrycht1.73912111162J. Chmielowski2.00111498113WSep 2 · 15:45M. Olbrycht1.7391211113J. Witkowski2.001110471LSep 2 · 24:10M. Olbrycht2.00128781M. Rutkowski1.73101111113WSep 1 · 23:20M. Olbrycht1.83111288113K. Kapik1.83710111152
Upcoming Matches
L. Pietraszko1 of 1 neutral
M. Olbrycht
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