TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053336
Played Sep 1Finished
Kacper Glazowski
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
112811811811––
Miroslav Sklensky
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeKacper Glazowski to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKacper Glazowski above · Miroslav Sklensky below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Kacper Glazowski at 57.2%
70 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Glazowski 38–43 Miroslav Sklensky Kacper Glazowski has won 38 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:08What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sklensky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
38-43 in 81
Sklensky
Correct
gap of 5 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glazowski 1781 vs Sklensky 1735
Glazowski
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glazowski 80% vs Sklensky 20%
Glazowski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glazowski 50% vs Sklensky 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Glazowski +4 · Sklensky +1
Glazowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Sklensky) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sklensky form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlazowski 2.20 / Sklensky 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Sklensky)-2.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13053336
Glazowski2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 86 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back19% 28 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 78
Sklensky1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 226 of 346
Up 2–0, closes it95% 122 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it82% 165 of 202
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlazowski6wins
AwaySklensky4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGlazowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlazowski100%5 of 5
AwaySklensky80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glazowski5Sklensky5n = 10split evenly
S2Glazowski7Sklensky3n = 10Glazowski took 7 of 10
S3Glazowski5Sklensky5n = 10split evenly
S4Glazowski6Sklensky3n = 9Glazowski took 6 of 9
S5Glazowski1Sklensky2n = 3Sklensky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlazowskiSklenskyG − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.437.5+3.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlazowskiSklenskyBasisWin rate · lifetime503 / 1031 vs 683 / 115048.8%59.4%503 / 1031 vs 683 / 1150Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SklenskyGlazowski 2.20/Sklensky 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Sklensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sklensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 12:10K. Glazowski—111511133M. Sklensky—5175111
WAug 25 · 16:30K. Glazowski—11118113M. Sklensky—191151
WAug 25 · 09:00K. Glazowski—391111113M. Sklensky—11117772
WAug 24 · 18:05K. Glazowski—11119113M. Sklensky—961191
LAug 24 · 11:45K. Glazowski—9111071M. Sklensky—11612113
LAug 11 · 16:30K. Glazowski—69111192M. Sklensky—111153113
WAug 11 · 10:55K. Glazowski—1511113M. Sklensky—13870
LAug 10 · 15:45K. Glazowski—101111692M. Sklensky—126711113
WAug 10 · 14:35K. Glazowski—11114113M. Sklensky—491181
LJul 28 · 13:25K. Glazowski—714471M. Sklensky—111211113
K. Glazowski10
WSep 1 · 18:30K. Strowski2.00781181K. Glazowski1.7311117113WSep 1 · 17:40A. Spychala2.209980K. Glazowski1.611111113WSep 1 · 16:55K. Glazowski1.441311118113M. Olbrycht2.6315891142WSep 1 · 15:45K. Glazowski1.73118167113L. Jarocki2.00911141162LSep 1 · 14:10K. Kolodziej1.501111117113K. Glazowski2.5013391172LSep 1 · 13:20K. Strowski1.91111311183K. Glazowski1.8013119161LSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291WSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133LSep 1 · 09:00P. Cyrnek1.281111113K. Glazowski3.509960LAug 31 · 19:40K. Strowski1.8381111143K. Glazowski1.831198121
M. Sklensky10
WSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.3711118113K. Wisniewski2.80761171WSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.42111111113J. Zochniak2.60471351WSep 7 · 03:00M. Sklensky—1111613113D. Solilo—46111572WSep 1 · 19:15M. Olbrycht3.259570M. Sklensky1.331111113LSep 1 · 17:20K. Strowski1.611111113M. Sklensky2.208470LSep 1 · 16:30L. Jarocki1.83881111113M. Sklensky1.8311115492LSep 1 · 15:00A. Spychala2.2571111113M. Sklensky1.57117951LSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Glazowski1 of 4 neutral
M. Sklensky1 of 4 neutral
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