TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053483
Played Sep 1Finished
Adrian Spychala
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911811––––
Kacper Glazowski
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:58 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeKacper Glazowski to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdrian Spychala above · Kacper Glazowski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 59 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Kacper Glazowski at 54.1%
59 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Spychala 26–43 Kacper Glazowski Adrian Spychala has won 26 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:58What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Glazowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-43 in 69
Glazowski
Correct
gap of 17 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Spychala 1739 vs Glazowski 1763
Glazowski
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spychala 60% vs Glazowski 40%
Spychala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spychala 60% vs Glazowski 30%
Spychala
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Spychala +2 · Glazowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Glazowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glazowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpychala 2.20 / Glazowski 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Glazowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13053483
Spychala2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 132 of 441
Down 0–1, comes back13% 37 of 285
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 164
Glazowski1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 132 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it98% 61 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it83% 111 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSpychala4wins
AwayGlazowski6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGlazowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSpychala66.7%2 of 3
AwayGlazowski71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spychala3Glazowski7n = 10Glazowski took 7 of 10
S2Spychala7Glazowski3n = 10Spychala took 7 of 10
S3Spychala5Glazowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Spychala4Glazowski5n = 9Glazowski took 5 of 9
S5Spychala2Glazowski3n = 5Glazowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSpychalaGlazowskiS − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.140.8+0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpychalaGlazowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime578 / 1549 vs 501 / 102937.3%48.7%578 / 1549 vs 501 / 1029Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlazowskiSpychala 2.20/Glazowski 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Glazowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Glazowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 13:25A. Spychala—991151K. Glazowski—11115113
LAug 24 · 16:30A. Spychala—611681K. Glazowski—11511113
WAug 24 · 09:00A. Spychala—1311811113K. Glazowski—15711892
LAug 18 · 16:30A. Spychala—51111882K. Glazowski—116611113
WAug 18 · 13:25A. Spychala—811911113K. Glazowski—11511692
LAug 17 · 19:40A. Spychala—811115102K. Glazowski—118711123
LAug 17 · 14:35A. Spychala—1431081K. Glazowski—121112113
WJul 28 · 10:30A. Spychala—1113113K. Glazowski—21140
LApr 22 · 10:20A. Spychala—79111142K. Glazowski—111199113
WApr 22 · 05:45A. Spychala—11119113K. Glazowski—981141
A. Spychala10
WSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790WSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:20A. Spychala1.83117781K. Kapik1.8371111113WSep 2 · 16:05L. Pietraszko2.63101111652A. Spychala1.44129911113WSep 2 · 15:25A. Spychala1.91411145113J. Chmielowski1.80117121182WSep 2 · 14:35A. Spychala1.7011118113J. Witkowski1.95771171LSep 2 · 13:00A. Spychala1.80116612102M. Kolek1.858111110123WSep 2 · 11:45A. Spychala1.8371111113K. Wisniewski1.86118761LSep 2 · 10:05A. Spychala2.95481591J. Kuzmicz1.33111113113WSep 2 · 09:00A. Spychala2.25101111153D. Prokopcov1.551289131
K. Glazowski10
LSep 1 · 20:05K. Glazowski2.20118881M. Sklensky1.6121111113WSep 1 · 18:30K. Strowski2.00781181K. Glazowski1.7311117113WSep 1 · 16:55K. Glazowski1.441311118113M. Olbrycht2.6315891142WSep 1 · 15:45K. Glazowski1.73118167113L. Jarocki2.00911141162LSep 1 · 14:10K. Kolodziej1.501111117113K. Glazowski2.5013391172LSep 1 · 13:20K. Strowski1.91111311183K. Glazowski1.8013119161LSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291WSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133LSep 1 · 09:00P. Cyrnek1.281111113K. Glazowski3.509960LAug 31 · 19:40K. Strowski1.8381111143K. Glazowski1.831198121
Upcoming Matches
A. Spychala
Nothing scheduled
K. Glazowski1 of 4 neutral
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