TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052065
Played Sep 1Finished
Krystian Kolodziej
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113113119711117
Kacper Glazowski
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:56 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeKrystian Kolodziej to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrystian Kolodziej above · Kacper Glazowski below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Krystian Kolodziej at 64.1%
94 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Kolodziej 19–9 Kacper Glazowski Kacper Glazowski has won 9 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:56What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kolodziej
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-9 in 28
Kolodziej
Correct
gap of 10 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1853 vs Glazowski 1763
Kolodziej
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 40% vs Glazowski 20%
Kolodziej
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 40% vs Glazowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej +1 · Glazowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kolodziej) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glazowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 1.50 / Glazowski 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Kolodziej)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13052065
Kolodziej1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite76% won 532 of 698
Up 2–0, closes it98% 333 of 340
Up 1–0, closes it88% 436 of 496
Glazowski2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 86 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back19% 28 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolodziej6wins
AwayGlazowski4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKolodziej leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolodziej85.7%6 of 7
AwayGlazowski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolodziej7Glazowski3n = 10Kolodziej took 7 of 10
S2Kolodziej7Glazowski3n = 10Kolodziej took 7 of 10
S3Kolodziej6Glazowski4n = 10Kolodziej took 6 of 10
S4Kolodziej1Glazowski2n = 3Glazowski took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolodziejGlazowskiK − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.528.4+5.1per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejGlazowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1324 / 1962 vs 501 / 102967.5%48.7%1324 / 1962 vs 501 / 1029Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolodziejKolodziej 1.50/Glazowski 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Kolodziej · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 16 · 13:25K. Kolodziej—113120K. Glazowski—1311143
WMay 4 · 20:10K. Kolodziej—1111113K. Glazowski—8360
WApr 20 · 20:35K. Kolodziej—1311113K. Glazowski—11570
LMar 23 · 20:45K. Kolodziej—8940K. Glazowski—1111113
WMar 9 · 20:25K. Kolodziej—14118113K. Glazowski—1281171
LMar 9 · 10:55K. Kolodziej—11811472K. Glazowski—611711113
LMar 2 · 16:55K. Kolodziej—911871K. Glazowski—11211113
WFeb 16 · 18:00K. Kolodziej—1111113K. Glazowski—7560
WFeb 9 · 19:15K. Kolodziej—1111113K. Glazowski—5610
WFeb 2 · 21:35K. Kolodziej—1112113K. Glazowski—81060
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123WSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752WSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113LSep 4 · 12:05D. Michna1.671111113K. Kolodziej2.109480WSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113
K. Glazowski10
LSep 1 · 20:05K. Glazowski2.20118881M. Sklensky1.6121111113WSep 1 · 18:30K. Strowski2.00781181K. Glazowski1.7311117113WSep 1 · 17:40A. Spychala2.209980K. Glazowski1.611111113WSep 1 · 16:55K. Glazowski1.441311118113M. Olbrycht2.6315891142WSep 1 · 15:45K. Glazowski1.73118167113L. Jarocki2.00911141162LSep 1 · 13:20K. Strowski1.91111311183K. Glazowski1.8013119161LSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291WSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133LSep 1 · 09:00P. Cyrnek1.281111113K. Glazowski3.509960LAug 31 · 19:40K. Strowski1.8381111143K. Glazowski1.831198121
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