TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052084
Played Sep 1Finished
Karol Strowski
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
111313111191816––
Kacper Glazowski
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Strowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarol Strowski above · Kacper Glazowski below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 18-16
Point 102 set 4, 18-16 — our read held Karol Strowski at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Karol Strowski 31–26 Kacper Glazowski Kacper Glazowski has won 26 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Glazowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-26 in 57
Strowski
Correct
gap of 5 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strowski 1808 vs Glazowski 1781
Strowski
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strowski 40% vs Glazowski 20%
Strowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strowski 50% vs Glazowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strowski -1 · Glazowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Glazowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glazowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrowski 1.91 / Glazowski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Glazowski)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13052084
Strowski1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 77 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back25% 29 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Glazowski1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 132 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it98% 61 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it83% 111 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrowski4wins
AwayGlazowski6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderGlazowski leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGlazowski50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strowski2Glazowski8n = 10Glazowski took 8 of 10
S2Strowski5Glazowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Strowski4Glazowski6n = 10Glazowski took 6 of 10
S4Strowski6Glazowski3n = 9Strowski took 6 of 9
S5Strowski3Glazowski3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrowskiGlazowskiS − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match43.044.8−1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrowskiGlazowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime832 / 1416 vs 503 / 103158.8%48.8%832 / 1416 vs 503 / 1031Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlazowskiStrowski 1.91/Glazowski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Glazowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 17:20K. Strowski—81112123K. Glazowski—11410101
LAug 24 · 18:50K. Strowski—89111372K. Glazowski—1111911113
LAug 24 · 10:05K. Strowski—881171K. Glazowski—11119113
WAug 10 · 18:30K. Strowski—7111811113K. Glazowski—11820572
WJun 16 · 09:00K. Strowski—511711123K. Glazowski—114114102
LMay 26 · 09:30K. Strowski—11970K. Glazowski—1311113
WMay 25 · 14:45K. Strowski—711114113K. Glazowski—11891172
LMay 21 · 09:05K. Strowski—128101172K. Glazowski—1011126113
LMay 5 · 14:45K. Strowski—127101152K. Glazowski—1011129113
LMay 4 · 17:25K. Strowski—1011791K. Glazowski—12911113
K. Strowski10
LSep 1 · 19:40K. Strowski2.0091171152L. Jarocki1.73117119113LSep 1 · 18:30K. Strowski2.00781181K. Glazowski1.7311117113WSep 1 · 17:20K. Strowski1.611111113M. Sklensky2.208470LSep 1 · 16:05A. Spychala2.20111278113K. Strowski1.61910111162WSep 1 · 15:25K. Strowski1.2811116113M. Olbrycht3.50861181WSep 1 · 14:35P. Cyrnek1.40117811102K. Strowski2.75811115123LSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142WSep 1 · 10:50K. Kolodziej1.91911111172K. Strowski1.80111377113LSep 1 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.3011116113K. Strowski3.40491171WAug 31 · 19:40K. Strowski1.8381111143K. Glazowski1.831198121
K. Glazowski10
LSep 1 · 20:05K. Glazowski2.20118881M. Sklensky1.6121111113WSep 1 · 18:30K. Strowski2.00781181K. Glazowski1.7311117113WSep 1 · 17:40A. Spychala2.209980K. Glazowski1.611111113WSep 1 · 16:55K. Glazowski1.441311118113M. Olbrycht2.6315891142WSep 1 · 15:45K. Glazowski1.73118167113L. Jarocki2.00911141162LSep 1 · 14:10K. Kolodziej1.501111117113K. Glazowski2.5013391172LSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291WSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133LSep 1 · 09:00P. Cyrnek1.281111113K. Glazowski3.509960LAug 31 · 19:40K. Strowski1.8381111143K. Glazowski1.831198121
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