TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052036
Played Sep 1Finished
Kacper Petas
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119911116611114
Karol Strowski
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:56 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeKacper Petas to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKacper Petas above · Karol Strowski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 89 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Kacper Petas at 62.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Petas 10–7 Karol Strowski Karol Strowski has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:56What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Petas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Petas
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petas 1822 vs Strowski 1826
Strowski
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petas 40% vs Strowski 60%
Strowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petas 50% vs Strowski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Petas -1 · Strowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Petas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetas 1.50 / Strowski 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Petas)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13052036
Petas1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 188 of 308
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it73% 140 of 192
Strowski2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 77 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back25% 29 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetas5wins
AwayStrowski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetas50%2 of 4
AwayStrowski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petas4Strowski6n = 10Strowski took 6 of 10
S2Petas7Strowski3n = 10Petas took 7 of 10
S3Petas7Strowski3n = 10Petas took 7 of 10
S4Petas2Strowski5n = 7Strowski took 5 of 7
S5Petas1Strowski2n = 3Strowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetasStrowskiP − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.637.2+1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetasStrowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime713 / 1360 vs 833 / 141452.4%58.9%713 / 1360 vs 833 / 1414Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetasPetas 1.50/Strowski 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Petas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 20 · 12:05K. Petas—117931K. Strowski—91111113
WJun 20 · 09:40K. Petas—1111119113K. Strowski—13861182
WApr 23 · 14:50K. Petas—71613113K. Strowski—11141181
LMar 25 · 10:30K. Petas—118661K. Strowski—71111113
LMar 3 · 19:35K. Petas—811126132K. Strowski—1121011143
WFeb 24 · 12:55K. Petas—1111113K. Strowski—8860
WDec 28 · 11:25K. Petas—1111113K. Strowski—5870
LSep 22 · 12:25K. Petas—81111872K. Strowski—117411113
LAug 12 · 14:45K. Petas—6970K. Strowski—1111113
WJul 7 · 14:45K. Petas—91111113K. Strowski—117871
K. Petas10
WSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133WSep 1 · 12:55P. Cyrnek1.61811571K. Petas2.2011511113LSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133WSep 1 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.671151271K. Petas2.10131110113LSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881WSep 1 · 07:20K. Petas1.501110118113J. Kuzmicz2.5081271162LSep 1 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.61118911113K. Petas2.2081111342LSep 1 · 04:55P. Cyrnek1.5711124113K. Petas2.258101191WSep 1 · 03:25D. Prokopcov3.0061170K. Petas1.361113113WAug 31 · 14:10K. Petas1.5751111113K. Wloczko2.25117861
K. Strowski10
LSep 1 · 19:40K. Strowski2.0091171152L. Jarocki1.73117119113LSep 1 · 18:30K. Strowski2.00781181K. Glazowski1.7311117113WSep 1 · 17:20K. Strowski1.611111113M. Sklensky2.208470LSep 1 · 16:05A. Spychala2.20111278113K. Strowski1.61910111162WSep 1 · 15:25K. Strowski1.2811116113M. Olbrycht3.50861181WSep 1 · 14:35P. Cyrnek1.40117811102K. Strowski2.75811115123WSep 1 · 13:20K. Strowski1.91111311183K. Glazowski1.8013119161WSep 1 · 10:50K. Kolodziej1.91911111172K. Strowski1.80111377113LSep 1 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.3011116113K. Strowski3.40491171WAug 31 · 19:40K. Strowski1.8381111143K. Glazowski1.831198121
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