TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052032
Played Sep 1Finished
Piotr Cyrnek
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181210411119––
Kacper Petas
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:58 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timePiotr Cyrnek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Cyrnek above · Kacper Petas below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Piotr Cyrnek at 60.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Cyrnek 17–11 Kacper Petas Kacper Petas has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:58What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Cyrnek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-11 in 28
Cyrnek
Correct
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyrnek 1947 vs Petas 1841
Cyrnek
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyrnek 40% vs Petas 80%
Petas
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyrnek 50% vs Petas 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyrnek -2 · Petas +3
Petas
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Cyrnek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petas form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyrnek 1.57 / Petas 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Cyrnek)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13052032
Cyrnek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 100 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 90
Petas2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 131 of 283
Down 0–1, comes back19% 25 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCyrnek6wins
AwayPetas4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderCyrnek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyrnek100%6 of 6
AwayPetas100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyrnek6Petas4n = 10Cyrnek took 6 of 10
S2Cyrnek6Petas4n = 10Cyrnek took 6 of 10
S3Cyrnek6Petas4n = 10Cyrnek took 6 of 10
S4Cyrnek4Petas2n = 6Cyrnek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCyrnekPetasC − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.233.5+1.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCyrnekPetasBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 417 vs 711 / 135456.8%52.5%237 / 417 vs 711 / 1354Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CyrnekCyrnek 1.57/Petas 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Cyrnek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cyrnek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 25 · 12:30P. Cyrnek—51161172K. Petas—119118113
WJul 25 · 03:00P. Cyrnek—11711163K. Petas—6117141
WMay 27 · 14:30P. Cyrnek—111111113K. Petas—713481
WDec 9 · 15:05P. Cyrnek—1114113K. Petas—81270
WDec 8 · 13:50P. Cyrnek—11115113K. Petas—891171
WDec 8 · 10:10P. Cyrnek—1114113K. Petas—41260
LNov 4 · 13:25P. Cyrnek—7930K. Petas—1111113
LNov 4 · 06:05P. Cyrnek—791231K. Petas—111110113
LOct 14 · 12:25P. Cyrnek—711751K. Petas—11511113
WOct 14 · 08:00P. Cyrnek—1111113K. Petas—3680
P. Cyrnek10
LSep 2 · 13:45P. Cyrnek1.5711711772M. Jadczyk2.25611911113WSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:15P. Cyrnek1.50715118132K. Wloczko2.501113811153WSep 2 · 10:00P. David1.5011119972P. Cyrnek2.50861111113WSep 2 · 09:20P. Cyrnek1.4411511113K. Kolodziej2.63711781WSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 06:55P. Cyrnek1.5071111692M. Jadczyk2.50114611113LSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113WSep 2 · 04:10P. Cyrnek2.201116143P. David1.61914120WSep 2 · 03:00P. Cyrnek1.4411812113K. Wloczko2.639111061
K. Petas10
WSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133WSep 1 · 12:55P. Cyrnek1.61811571K. Petas2.2011511113WSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142LSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133WSep 1 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.671151271K. Petas2.10131110113LSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881WSep 1 · 07:20K. Petas1.501110118113J. Kuzmicz2.5081271162LSep 1 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.61118911113K. Petas2.2081111342WSep 1 · 03:25D. Prokopcov3.0061170K. Petas1.361113113WAug 31 · 14:10K. Petas1.5751111113K. Wloczko2.25117861
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