Piotr Cyrnek vs Marcin Jadczyk 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059012

Played Sep 2Finished

Piotr Cyrnek

Home

1.57

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

116711119711711

Marcin Jadczyk

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:22 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%

Graded at full time

Piotr Cyrnek to win

62.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingPiotr Cyrnek above · Marcin Jadczyk below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 7-11

Set 5 · 7-11

Point 91 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Piotr Cyrnek at 62.9%

91 points played in total.

H2H Piotr Cyrnek 13–17 Marcin Jadczyk Piotr Cyrnek has won 13 of their 30 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 13:22

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Cyrnek

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

13-17 in 30

Jadczyk

Correct

gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Cyrnek 1940 vs Jadczyk 1908

Cyrnek

Wrong

both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Cyrnek 80% vs Jadczyk 60%

Cyrnek

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Cyrnek 60% vs Jadczyk 70%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Cyrnek +1 · Jadczyk -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Cyrnek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Jadczyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsCyrnek 1.57 / Jadczyk 2.25

Signal prob.59% / 41%

Edge (Cyrnek)+0.0pp

TT Elite Series · #13059012

Cyrnek1.57

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite62% won 106 of 170

Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40

Up 1–0, closes it75% 71 of 95

Jadczyk2.25

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog46% won 145 of 317

Down 0–1, comes back28% 42 of 148

Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 61

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeCyrnek4wins

AwayJadczyk6wins

4 of 10 to a deciderJadczyk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeCyrnek50%2 of 4

AwayJadczyk66.7%4 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Cyrnek4Jadczyk6n = 10Jadczyk took 6 of 10

S2Cyrnek5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly

S3Cyrnek6Jadczyk4n = 10Cyrnek took 6 of 10

S4Cyrnek3Jadczyk5n = 8Jadczyk took 5 of 8

S5Cyrnek1Jadczyk3n = 4Jadczyk took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricCyrnekJadczykC − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.240.2−2.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricCyrnekJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime248 / 435 vs 976 / 166457%58.7%248 / 435 vs 976 / 1664Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Cyrnek

Cyrnek 1.57/Jadczyk 2.25

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

58.9%

Cyrnek · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Jadczyk won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 2 · 06:55P. Cyrnek—71111692M. Jadczyk—114611113

LSep 1 · 03:45P. Cyrnek—9990M. Jadczyk—1111113

LAug 12 · 06:55P. Cyrnek—12116872M. Jadczyk—1081111113

LAug 11 · 03:45P. Cyrnek—811661M. Jadczyk—11811113

WAug 4 · 06:55P. Cyrnek—611116113M. Jadczyk—11581192

WAug 3 · 09:40P. Cyrnek—11711133M. Jadczyk—9119111

WAug 3 · 06:05P. Cyrnek—11811113M. Jadczyk—911771

WJul 25 · 06:55P. Cyrnek—91111113M. Jadczyk—118881

LJul 24 · 14:10P. Cyrnek—11611852M. Jadczyk—811711113

LJul 24 · 07:45P. Cyrnek—8980M. Jadczyk—1111113

P. Cyrnek10

WSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961 LSep 2 · 11:15P. Cyrnek1.50715118132K. Wloczko2.501113811153 WSep 2 · 10:00P. David1.5011119972P. Cyrnek2.50861111113 WSep 2 · 09:20P. Cyrnek1.4411511113K. Kolodziej2.63711781 WSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671 LSep 2 · 06:55P. Cyrnek1.5071111692M. Jadczyk2.50114611113 LSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113 WSep 2 · 04:10P. Cyrnek2.201116143P. David1.61914120 WSep 2 · 03:00P. Cyrnek1.4411812113K. Wloczko2.639111061 LSep 1 · 14:35P. Cyrnek1.40117811102K. Strowski2.75811115123

M. Jadczyk10

LSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871 LSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591 WSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282 WSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113 WSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113 LSep 4 · 14:10A. Grela2.10129147113M. Jadczyk1.671011121182 LSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113 WSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111 WSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113 WSep 2 · 06:55P. Cyrnek1.5071111692M. Jadczyk2.50114611113

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