TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058185
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Cyrnek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117511117118––
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrystian Kolodziej to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPiotr Cyrnek above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Krystian Kolodziej at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Cyrnek 2–0 Krystian Kolodziej Krystian Kolodziej has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:44What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Cyrnek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cyrnek 1919 vs Kolodziej 1853
Cyrnek
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyrnek 60% vs Kolodziej 40%
Cyrnek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyrnek 60% vs Kolodziej 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyrnek +1 · Kolodziej +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Cyrnek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyrnek 1.44 / Kolodziej 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Cyrnek)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13058185
Cyrnek1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 106 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it75% 71 of 95
Kolodziej2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 67 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back21% 23 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeCyrnek2wins
AwayKolodziej0wins
Cyrnek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricCyrnekKolodziejC − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match36.023.0+13.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCyrnekKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 431 vs 1324 / 196256.8%67.5%245 / 431 vs 1324 / 1962Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CyrnekCyrnek 1.44/Kolodziej 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Cyrnek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cyrnek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 3 · 15:25P. Cyrnek—1111113K. Kolodziej—8350
WSep 2 · 15:55P. Cyrnek—1116123K. Kolodziej—614100
P. Cyrnek10
LSep 2 · 13:45P. Cyrnek1.5711711772M. Jadczyk2.25611911113WSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:15P. Cyrnek1.50715118132K. Wloczko2.501113811153WSep 2 · 10:00P. David1.5011119972P. Cyrnek2.50861111113WSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 06:55P. Cyrnek1.5071111692M. Jadczyk2.50114611113LSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113WSep 2 · 04:10P. Cyrnek2.201116143P. David1.61914120WSep 2 · 03:00P. Cyrnek1.4411812113K. Wloczko2.639111061LSep 1 · 14:35P. Cyrnek1.40117811102K. Strowski2.75811115123
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123WSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752WSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113LSep 4 · 12:05D. Michna1.671111113K. Kolodziej2.109480WSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113
Upcoming Matches
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K. Kolodziej1 of 6 neutral
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