TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058125
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Cyrnek
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1198111210116––
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:22 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timePiotr Cyrnek to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Cyrnek above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 78 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Piotr Cyrnek at 70.9%
78 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Cyrnek 6–1 Krzysztof Wloczko Krzysztof Wloczko has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:22What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Cyrnek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Cyrnek
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyrnek 1916 vs Wloczko 1833
Cyrnek
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyrnek 60% vs Wloczko 20%
Cyrnek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyrnek 50% vs Wloczko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyrnek -2 · Wloczko -3
Wloczko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Cyrnek) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyrnek 1.44 / Wloczko 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Cyrnek)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13058125
Cyrnek1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 100 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 90
Wloczko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 157 of 395
Down 0–1, comes back19% 41 of 215
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeCyrnek6wins
AwayWloczko1wins
4 of 7 to a deciderCyrnek leads 6–1, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyrnek100%4 of 4
AwayWloczko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyrnek4Wloczko3n = 7Cyrnek took 4 of 7
S2Cyrnek4Wloczko3n = 7Cyrnek took 4 of 7
S3Cyrnek4Wloczko3n = 7Cyrnek took 4 of 7
S4Cyrnek2Wloczko3n = 5Wloczko took 3 of 5
S5Cyrnek4Wloczko0n = 4Cyrnek took 4 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home457%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricCyrnekWloczkoC − WBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match42.638.7+3.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCyrnekWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 426 vs 944 / 180056.8%52.4%242 / 426 vs 944 / 1800Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CyrnekCyrnek 1.44/Wloczko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Cyrnek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cyrnek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJun 25 · 09:20P. Cyrnek—1111113K. Wloczko—9790
WJun 24 · 11:40P. Cyrnek—1110118113K. Wloczko—81281182
LJun 16 · 04:55P. Cyrnek—71080K. Wloczko—1112113
WAug 11 · 04:40P. Cyrnek—1111610113K. Wloczko—88111272
WMay 13 · 10:00P. Cyrnek—117911113K. Wloczko—91111992
WMay 13 · 07:40P. Cyrnek—51111113K. Wloczko—113661
WMay 5 · 13:40P. Cyrnek—10111110113K. Wloczko—12831292
P. Cyrnek10
LSep 2 · 13:45P. Cyrnek1.5711711772M. Jadczyk2.25611911113WSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:15P. Cyrnek1.50715118132K. Wloczko2.501113811153WSep 2 · 10:00P. David1.5011119972P. Cyrnek2.50861111113WSep 2 · 09:20P. Cyrnek1.4411511113K. Kolodziej2.63711781WSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 06:55P. Cyrnek1.5071111692M. Jadczyk2.50114611113LSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113WSep 2 · 04:10P. Cyrnek2.201116143P. David1.61914120LSep 1 · 14:35P. Cyrnek1.40117811102K. Strowski2.75811115123
K. Wloczko10
WSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192WSep 4 · 12:35J. Zochniak4.955980K. Wloczko1.131111113LSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682WSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:45K. Wloczko1.65811581G. Poliniewicz2.0511611113WSep 3 · 08:05S. Dosz1.57951531K. Wloczko2.25111113113WSep 3 · 07:20D. Michna1.737970K. Wloczko2.001111113WSep 3 · 05:15A. Dosz1.446960K. Wloczko2.631111113LSep 3 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.5051111113K. Wloczko2.50116961WSep 2 · 11:15P. Cyrnek1.50715118132K. Wloczko2.501113811153
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