TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065056
Played Sep 3Finished
Dawid Michna
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911711––––
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:21 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeDawid Michna to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingDawid Michna above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Dawid Michna at 54.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Michna 24–22 Krzysztof Wloczko Krzysztof Wloczko has won 22 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:21What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Michna
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-22 in 46
Michna
Wrong
gap of 2 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michna 1996 vs Wloczko 1847
Michna
Wrong
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michna 40% vs Wloczko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michna 60% vs Wloczko 40%
Michna
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michna -1 · Wloczko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Michna) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michna form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichna 1.73 / Wloczko 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Michna)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13065056
Michna1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 83 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it76% 64 of 84
Wloczko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 157 of 397
Down 0–1, comes back18% 40 of 218
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 130
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichna6wins
AwayWloczko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMichna leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichna85.7%6 of 7
AwayWloczko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michna7Wloczko3n = 10Michna took 7 of 10
S2Michna4Wloczko6n = 10Wloczko took 6 of 10
S3Michna3Wloczko7n = 10Wloczko took 7 of 10
S4Michna6Wloczko1n = 7Michna took 6 of 7
S5Michna2Wloczko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichnaWloczkoM − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.436.7+1.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichnaWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime533 / 978 vs 943 / 180554.5%52.2%533 / 978 vs 943 / 1805Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichnaMichna 1.73/Wloczko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Michna · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 18 · 10:25D. Michna—119611113K. Wloczko—51111572
WApr 24 · 15:10D. Michna—1111113K. Wloczko—9990
WMar 9 · 05:15D. Michna—14511113K. Wloczko—1211551
LMar 6 · 06:15D. Michna—91050K. Wloczko—1112113
WMar 5 · 07:35D. Michna—118811113K. Wloczko—91111552
LMar 4 · 10:30D. Michna—101060K. Wloczko—1212113
WMar 4 · 08:10D. Michna—11115113K. Wloczko—761131
LFeb 10 · 11:20D. Michna—11691172K. Wloczko—911117113
WFeb 10 · 06:45D. Michna—11119113K. Wloczko—961191
LJan 5 · 12:30D. Michna—91111532K. Wloczko—115911113
D. Michna10
LSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:55A. Grela1.6112611642D. Michna2.201011911113WSep 4 · 12:05D. Michna1.671111113K. Kolodziej2.109480LSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113WSep 4 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.539111181D. Michna2.3811713113WSep 4 · 07:20D. Michna1.80121111113A. Dosz1.911013771LSep 4 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.831112115123D. Michna1.83914911102WSep 4 · 04:55A. Grela1.738770D. Michna2.001111113LSep 4 · 03:25S. Dosz2.2511311113D. Michna1.57911491
K. Wloczko10
WSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192WSep 4 · 12:35J. Zochniak4.955980K. Wloczko1.131111113LSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682WSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:45K. Wloczko1.65811581G. Poliniewicz2.0511611113WSep 3 · 08:05S. Dosz1.57951531K. Wloczko2.25111113113WSep 3 · 05:15A. Dosz1.446960K. Wloczko2.631111113LSep 3 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.5051111113K. Wloczko2.50116961LSep 3 · 03:00P. David1.22115711123K. Wloczko4.00611117102WSep 2 · 14:10M. Olejnik1.535890K. Wloczko2.381111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Michna
Nothing scheduled
K. Wloczko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.