TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065039
Played Sep 3Finished
Petr David
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1165117111171210
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:23 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr David above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 91 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Petr David at 82.9%
91 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 26–4 Krzysztof Wloczko Krzysztof Wloczko has won 4 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:23What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
David
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-4 in 30
David
Correct
gap of 22 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 2006 vs Wloczko 1851
David
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 80% vs Wloczko 40%
David
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 70% vs Wloczko 40%
David
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
David +3 · Wloczko +1
David
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans David)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.22 / Wloczko 4.00
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (David)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13065039
David1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 237 of 351
Up 2–0, closes it98% 124 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it83% 183 of 220
Wloczko4.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 156 of 394
Down 0–1, comes back19% 40 of 214
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid9wins
AwayWloczko1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid100%6 of 6
AwayWloczko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David6Wloczko4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S2David10Wloczko0n = 10David took 10 of 10
S3David8Wloczko2n = 10David took 8 of 10
S4David3Wloczko1n = 4David took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidWloczkoD − WBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.027.1+9.9per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime647 / 983 vs 944 / 180565.8%52.3%647 / 983 vs 944 / 1805Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.22/Wloczko 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 03:00P. David—1111113K. Wloczko—8740
WAug 2 · 11:15P. David—1212113K. Wloczko—101020
WAug 2 · 04:10P. David—711811123K. Wloczko—118116102
WJul 1 · 12:30P. David—1111113K. Wloczko—7980
WJun 11 · 12:25P. David—71111113K. Wloczko—118621
WJun 11 · 04:00P. David—1111113K. Wloczko—5610
WJun 10 · 09:10P. David—1111113K. Wloczko—5580
WMay 14 · 08:00P. David—91112113K. Wloczko—1191051
LApr 30 · 05:05P. David—6119121K. Wloczko—11811143
WApr 29 · 09:10P. David—1111113K. Wloczko—9960
P. David10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121LSep 3 · 12:30P. David1.571081161A. Wiecek2.2512117113WSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151WSep 3 · 10:00A. Dosz2.001110761P. David1.7391211113LSep 3 · 09:20P. David1.367117101S. Dosz3.0011411123LSep 3 · 08:30P. David1.501011861D. Michna2.5012711113
K. Wloczko10
WSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192WSep 4 · 12:35J. Zochniak4.955980K. Wloczko1.131111113LSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682WSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:45K. Wloczko1.65811581G. Poliniewicz2.0511611113WSep 3 · 08:05S. Dosz1.57951531K. Wloczko2.25111113113WSep 3 · 07:20D. Michna1.737970K. Wloczko2.001111113WSep 3 · 05:15A. Dosz1.446960K. Wloczko2.631111113LSep 3 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.5051111113K. Wloczko2.50116961WSep 2 · 14:10M. Olejnik1.535890K. Wloczko2.381111113
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