TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058781
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Cyrnek
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811811––––
Dmitrij Prokopcov
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:15 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timePiotr Cyrnek to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPiotr Cyrnek above · Dmitrij Prokopcov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Piotr Cyrnek at 75.3%
58 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Cyrnek 5–0 Dmitrij Prokopcov Dmitrij Prokopcov has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:15What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Cyrnek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Cyrnek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyrnek 1941 vs Prokopcov 1696
Cyrnek
Wrong
both rated, 244 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyrnek 60% vs Prokopcov 20%
Cyrnek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyrnek 60% vs Prokopcov 30%
Cyrnek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyrnek +2 · Prokopcov -3
Prokopcov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Cyrnek) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cyrnek form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyrnek 1.30 / Prokopcov 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Cyrnek)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13058781
Cyrnek1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 106 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it75% 71 of 95
Prokopcov3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog25% won 32 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeCyrnek5wins
AwayProkopcov0wins
3 of 5 to a deciderCyrnek leads 5–0, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyrnekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayProkopcov0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyrnek2Prokopcov3n = 5Prokopcov took 3 of 5
S2Cyrnek4Prokopcov1n = 5Cyrnek took 4 of 5
S3Cyrnek3Prokopcov2n = 5Cyrnek took 3 of 5
S4Cyrnek3Prokopcov1n = 4Cyrnek took 3 of 4
S5Cyrnek3Prokopcov0n = 3Cyrnek took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricCyrnekProkopcovC − PBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match46.636.2+10.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCyrnekProkopcovBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 428 vs 92 / 21757%42.4%244 / 428 vs 92 / 217Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CyrnekCyrnek 1.30/Prokopcov 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.7%
Cyrnek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Prokopcov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 1 · 06:30P. Cyrnek—911811113D. Prokopcov—11411582
WJul 4 · 12:05P. Cyrnek—111189113D. Prokopcov—59111172
WJul 4 · 03:25P. Cyrnek—1111123D. Prokopcov—56100
WJun 25 · 08:30P. Cyrnek—7111111113D. Prokopcov—11136392
WJun 24 · 04:55P. Cyrnek—121111143D. Prokopcov—1464121
P. Cyrnek10
LSep 2 · 13:45P. Cyrnek1.5711711772M. Jadczyk2.25611911113WSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:15P. Cyrnek1.50715118132K. Wloczko2.501113811153WSep 2 · 10:00P. David1.5011119972P. Cyrnek2.50861111113WSep 2 · 09:20P. Cyrnek1.4411511113K. Kolodziej2.63711781WSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 06:55P. Cyrnek1.5071111692M. Jadczyk2.50114611113WSep 2 · 04:10P. Cyrnek2.201116143P. David1.61914120WSep 2 · 03:00P. Cyrnek1.4411812113K. Wloczko2.639111061LSep 1 · 14:35P. Cyrnek1.40117811102K. Strowski2.75811115123
D. Prokopcov10
WSep 2 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.5011119752D. Prokopcov1.50591111113WSep 2 · 13:25J. Witkowski2.35911641D. Prokopcov1.5411511113LSep 2 · 11:20J. Kuzmicz1.46991111113D. Prokopcov2.4811117792WSep 2 · 10:30M. Kolek2.607550D. Prokopcov1.411111113LSep 2 · 09:00A. Spychala2.25101111153D. Prokopcov1.551289131WSep 2 · 08:05D. Prokopcov1.73611127113K. Wloczko2.00116101172WSep 2 · 06:30P. David1.3311571192D. Prokopcov3.25711118113LSep 2 · 04:55D. Prokopcov3.75121111192M. Olejnik1.25141184113LSep 2 · 03:45D. Prokopcov2.7511101031M. Jadczyk1.4091212113LSep 1 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.911115118113D. Prokopcov1.8061761162
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