TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058590
Played Sep 2Finished
Petr David
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117511711118911
Dmitrij Prokopcov
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:34 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr David above · Dmitrij Prokopcov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Petr David at 69.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 0–1 Dmitrij Prokopcov Petr David has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
David
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
David 1957 vs Prokopcov 1752
David
Wrong
both rated, 205 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 80% vs Prokopcov 40%
David
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 70% vs Prokopcov 40%
David
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
David +1 · Prokopcov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans David) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.33 / Prokopcov 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (David)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13058590
David1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 245 of 366
Up 2–0, closes it97% 127 of 131
Up 1–0, closes it83% 188 of 228
Prokopcov3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog26% won 34 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDavid0wins
AwayProkopcov1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderProkopcov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDavidProkopcovD − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.048.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidProkopcovBasisWin rate · lifetime647 / 983 vs 98 / 22565.8%43.6%647 / 983 vs 98 / 225Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.33/Prokopcov 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.7%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Prokopcov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 2 · 06:30P. David—11571192D. Prokopcov—711118113
P. David10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121LSep 3 · 12:30P. David1.571081161A. Wiecek2.2512117113WSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151WSep 3 · 10:00A. Dosz2.001110761P. David1.7391211113LSep 3 · 09:20P. David1.367117101S. Dosz3.0011411123LSep 3 · 08:30P. David1.501011861D. Michna2.5012711113
D. Prokopcov10
WSep 2 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.5011119752D. Prokopcov1.50591111113WSep 2 · 13:25J. Witkowski2.35911641D. Prokopcov1.5411511113LSep 2 · 11:20J. Kuzmicz1.46991111113D. Prokopcov2.4811117792WSep 2 · 10:30M. Kolek2.607550D. Prokopcov1.411111113LSep 2 · 09:00A. Spychala2.25101111153D. Prokopcov1.551289131WSep 2 · 08:05D. Prokopcov1.73611127113K. Wloczko2.00116101172WSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113LSep 2 · 04:55D. Prokopcov3.75121111192M. Olejnik1.25141184113LSep 2 · 03:45D. Prokopcov2.7511101031M. Jadczyk1.4091212113LSep 1 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.911115118113D. Prokopcov1.8061761162
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