TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057895
Played Sep 2Finished
Dmitrij Prokopcov
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11910121012311––
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:14 and never touched — 72.0% is still 72.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
72.0%
72.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitrij Prokopcov above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 78 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 72.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Dmitrij Prokopcov 3–12 Marcin Jadczyk Dmitrij Prokopcov has won 3 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:14What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Jadczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-12 in 15
Jadczyk
Correct
gap of 9 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokopcov 1707 vs Jadczyk 1906
Jadczyk
Correct
both rated, 199 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokopcov 60% vs Jadczyk 80%
Jadczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokopcov 40% vs Jadczyk 60%
Jadczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokopcov -1 · Jadczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Jadczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokopcov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkopcov 2.75 / Jadczyk 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Jadczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13057895
Prokopcov2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 31 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Jadczyk1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 436 of 687
Up 2–0, closes it98% 223 of 228
Up 1–0, closes it83% 344 of 413
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkopcov2wins
AwayJadczyk8wins
Jadczyk leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkopcov25%1 of 4
AwayJadczyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokopcov4Jadczyk6n = 10Jadczyk took 6 of 10
S2Prokopcov3Jadczyk7n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10
S3Prokopcov2Jadczyk8n = 10Jadczyk took 8 of 10
S4Prokopcov2Jadczyk5n = 7Jadczyk took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkopcovJadczykP − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match29.437.3−7.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkopcovJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 215 vs 970 / 165542.8%58.6%92 / 215 vs 970 / 1655Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykProkopcov 2.75/Jadczyk 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 07:45D. Prokopcov—1175111M. Jadczyk—81111133
LAug 19 · 06:05D. Prokopcov—1121091M. Jadczyk—91112113
LJul 15 · 07:45D. Prokopcov—6610M. Jadczyk—1111113
WJul 5 · 04:30D. Prokopcov—11511113M. Jadczyk—511891
WJul 4 · 07:45D. Prokopcov—101112113M. Jadczyk—1221031
LJun 24 · 06:05D. Prokopcov—14101271M. Jadczyk—121214113
LJun 7 · 11:35D. Prokopcov—6820M. Jadczyk—1111113
LJun 7 · 08:50D. Prokopcov—511661M. Jadczyk—11911113
LJun 6 · 05:25D. Prokopcov—511751M. Jadczyk—11411113
LMay 24 · 11:35D. Prokopcov—6570M. Jadczyk—1111113
D. Prokopcov10
WSep 2 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.5011119752D. Prokopcov1.50591111113WSep 2 · 13:25J. Witkowski2.35911641D. Prokopcov1.5411511113LSep 2 · 11:20J. Kuzmicz1.46991111113D. Prokopcov2.4811117792WSep 2 · 10:30M. Kolek2.607550D. Prokopcov1.411111113LSep 2 · 09:00A. Spychala2.25101111153D. Prokopcov1.551289131WSep 2 · 08:05D. Prokopcov1.73611127113K. Wloczko2.00116101172WSep 2 · 06:30P. David1.3311571192D. Prokopcov3.25711118113WSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113LSep 2 · 04:55D. Prokopcov3.75121111192M. Olejnik1.25141184113LSep 1 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.911115118113D. Prokopcov1.8061761162
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871LSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591WSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282WSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113LSep 4 · 14:10A. Grela2.10129147113M. Jadczyk1.671011121182LSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113WSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113WSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113
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