TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058668
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Cyrnek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11916141412––––
Petr David
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:54 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPiotr Cyrnek above · Petr David below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 76 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Petr David at 58.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Cyrnek 10–13 Petr David Piotr Cyrnek has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
David
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-13 in 23
David
Wrong
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyrnek 1925 vs David 1957
David
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyrnek 60% vs David 80%
David
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyrnek 60% vs David 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyrnek +1 · David +4
David
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans David)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- David form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyrnek 2.20 / David 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (David)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13058668
Cyrnek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 17 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
David1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 243 of 359
Up 2–0, closes it97% 129 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it83% 188 of 227
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCyrnek4wins
AwayDavid6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyrnek33.3%2 of 6
AwayDavid50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyrnek6David4n = 10Cyrnek took 6 of 10
S2Cyrnek3David7n = 10David took 7 of 10
S3Cyrnek5David5n = 10split evenly
S4Cyrnek2David5n = 7David took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCyrnekDavidC − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.438.0−2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCyrnekDavidBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 427 vs 644 / 98456.9%65.5%243 / 427 vs 644 / 984Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidCyrnek 2.20/David 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cyrnek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 4 · 04:10P. Cyrnek—128781P. David—101111113
LMay 20 · 11:10P. Cyrnek—121111952P. David—1013411113
LMay 20 · 06:40P. Cyrnek—114971P. David—91111113
LMar 19 · 14:40P. Cyrnek—61060P. David—1112113
WMar 19 · 10:35P. Cyrnek—1112153P. David—710130
WJan 5 · 12:10P. Cyrnek—41111113P. David—116851
LJan 5 · 07:40P. Cyrnek—119821P. David—41111113
LDec 4 · 13:25P. Cyrnek—8580P. David—1111113
WDec 4 · 05:00P. Cyrnek—114119133P. David—411611112
WDec 3 · 15:05P. Cyrnek—81411113P. David—1112881
P. Cyrnek10
LSep 2 · 13:45P. Cyrnek1.5711711772M. Jadczyk2.25611911113WSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:15P. Cyrnek1.50715118132K. Wloczko2.501113811153WSep 2 · 10:00P. David1.5011119972P. Cyrnek2.50861111113WSep 2 · 09:20P. Cyrnek1.4411511113K. Kolodziej2.63711781WSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 06:55P. Cyrnek1.5071111692M. Jadczyk2.50114611113LSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113WSep 2 · 03:00P. Cyrnek1.4411812113K. Wloczko2.639111061LSep 1 · 14:35P. Cyrnek1.40117811102K. Strowski2.75811115123
P. David10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121LSep 3 · 12:30P. David1.571081161A. Wiecek2.2512117113WSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151WSep 3 · 10:00A. Dosz2.001110761P. David1.7391211113LSep 3 · 09:20P. David1.367117101S. Dosz3.0011411123LSep 2 · 10:00P. David1.5011119972P. Cyrnek2.50861111113
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