TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052017
Played Sep 1Finished
Kacper Petas
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181012117811116
Jakub Kuzmicz
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:58 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeKacper Petas to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKacper Petas above · Jakub Kuzmicz below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 95 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Kacper Petas at 64.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Petas 5–4 Jakub Kuzmicz Jakub Kuzmicz has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:58What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Petas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petas 1859 vs Kuzmicz 1818
Petas
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petas 60% vs Kuzmicz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petas 50% vs Kuzmicz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Petas -2 · Kuzmicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Petas) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetas 1.50 / Kuzmicz 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Petas)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13052017
Petas1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 190 of 311
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it73% 142 of 194
Kuzmicz2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 139 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back28% 36 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePetas5wins
AwayKuzmicz4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderPetas leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetas66.7%4 of 6
AwayKuzmicz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petas6Kuzmicz3n = 9Petas took 6 of 9
S2Petas4Kuzmicz5n = 9Kuzmicz took 5 of 9
S3Petas5Kuzmicz4n = 9Petas took 5 of 9
S4Petas3Kuzmicz5n = 8Kuzmicz took 5 of 8
S5Petas2Kuzmicz1n = 3Petas took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPetasKuzmiczP − KBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match38.639.4−0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetasKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime716 / 1363 vs 646 / 112452.5%57.5%716 / 1363 vs 646 / 1124Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetasPetas 1.50/Kuzmicz 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Petas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 1 · 07:20K. Petas—1110118113J. Kuzmicz—81271162
WAug 16 · 03:00K. Petas—81111113J. Kuzmicz—119731
WJul 26 · 11:15K. Petas—11611183J. Kuzmicz—4116161
LJul 26 · 03:00K. Petas—11911532J. Kuzmicz—711611113
WJun 27 · 06:55K. Petas—1212113J. Kuzmicz—101090
LJun 4 · 07:55K. Petas—811251J. Kuzmicz—11811113
LApr 15 · 14:45K. Petas—511721J. Kuzmicz—11511113
WMar 11 · 14:10K. Petas—1110811123J. Kuzmicz—612116102
LMar 11 · 06:00K. Petas—147291J. Kuzmicz—121111113
K. Petas10
WSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133WSep 1 · 12:55P. Cyrnek1.61811571K. Petas2.2011511113WSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142LSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133WSep 1 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.671151271K. Petas2.10131110113LSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881LSep 1 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.61118911113K. Petas2.2081111342LSep 1 · 04:55P. Cyrnek1.5711124113K. Petas2.258101191WSep 1 · 03:25D. Prokopcov3.0061170K. Petas1.361113113WAug 31 · 14:10K. Petas1.5751111113K. Wloczko2.25117861
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123WSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162WSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz1.5091171172F. Mlynarski2.50118119113WSep 5 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.5711118113D. Jadam2.25661171WSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103WSep 5 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.22911116113A. Wos4.0011991192
Upcoming Matches
K. Petas
Nothing scheduled
J. Kuzmicz1 of 1 neutral
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