TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052061
Played Sep 1Finished
Piotr Cyrnek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811115511711––
Kacper Petas
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:56 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timePiotr Cyrnek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPiotr Cyrnek above · Kacper Petas below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Piotr Cyrnek at 60.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Cyrnek 17–11 Kacper Petas Kacper Petas has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Cyrnek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-11 in 28
Cyrnek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyrnek 1954 vs Petas 1833
Cyrnek
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyrnek 80% vs Petas 60%
Cyrnek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyrnek 60% vs Petas 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyrnek +3 · Petas +1
Cyrnek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Cyrnek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petas form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyrnek 1.61 / Petas 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Cyrnek)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13052061
Cyrnek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 100 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 90
Petas2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 131 of 283
Down 0–1, comes back19% 25 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCyrnek6wins
AwayPetas4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderCyrnek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyrnek100%6 of 6
AwayPetas100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyrnek6Petas4n = 10Cyrnek took 6 of 10
S2Cyrnek6Petas4n = 10Cyrnek took 6 of 10
S3Cyrnek6Petas4n = 10Cyrnek took 6 of 10
S4Cyrnek4Petas2n = 6Cyrnek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCyrnekPetasC − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.233.5+1.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCyrnekPetasBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 424 vs 714 / 136157.1%52.5%242 / 424 vs 714 / 1361Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CyrnekCyrnek 1.61/Petas 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Cyrnek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 25 · 12:30P. Cyrnek—51161172K. Petas—119118113
WJul 25 · 03:00P. Cyrnek—11711163K. Petas—6117141
WMay 27 · 14:30P. Cyrnek—111111113K. Petas—713481
WDec 9 · 15:05P. Cyrnek—1114113K. Petas—81270
WDec 8 · 13:50P. Cyrnek—11115113K. Petas—891171
WDec 8 · 10:10P. Cyrnek—1114113K. Petas—41260
LNov 4 · 13:25P. Cyrnek—7930K. Petas—1111113
LNov 4 · 06:05P. Cyrnek—791231K. Petas—111110113
LOct 14 · 12:25P. Cyrnek—711751K. Petas—11511113
WOct 14 · 08:00P. Cyrnek—1111113K. Petas—3680
P. Cyrnek10
LSep 2 · 13:45P. Cyrnek1.5711711772M. Jadczyk2.25611911113WSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:15P. Cyrnek1.50715118132K. Wloczko2.501113811153WSep 2 · 10:00P. David1.5011119972P. Cyrnek2.50861111113WSep 2 · 09:20P. Cyrnek1.4411511113K. Kolodziej2.63711781WSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 06:55P. Cyrnek1.5071111692M. Jadczyk2.50114611113LSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113WSep 2 · 04:10P. Cyrnek2.201116143P. David1.61914120WSep 2 · 03:00P. Cyrnek1.4411812113K. Wloczko2.639111061
K. Petas10
WSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133WSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142LSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133WSep 1 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.671151271K. Petas2.10131110113LSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881WSep 1 · 07:20K. Petas1.501110118113J. Kuzmicz2.5081271162LSep 1 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.61118911113K. Petas2.2081111342LSep 1 · 04:55P. Cyrnek1.5711124113K. Petas2.258101191WSep 1 · 03:25D. Prokopcov3.0061170K. Petas1.361113113WAug 31 · 14:10K. Petas1.5751111113K. Wloczko2.25117861
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