TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052091
Played Sep 1Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1174115111113––
Kacper Petas
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:07 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Kacper Petas below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 73 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 55.3%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 66–34 Kacper Petas Kacper Petas has won 34 of their 100 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kosowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
66-34 in 100
Kosowski
Wrong
gap of 32 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1887 vs Petas 1857
Kosowski
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 60% vs Petas 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 60% vs Petas 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski -1 · Petas +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kosowski)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.73 / Petas 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kosowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13052091
Kosowski1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 289 of 445
Up 2–0, closes it94% 134 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it85% 225 of 265
Petas2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 131 of 283
Down 0–1, comes back19% 25 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski5wins
AwayPetas5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski80%4 of 5
AwayPetas80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski5Petas5n = 10split evenly
S2Kosowski5Petas5n = 10split evenly
S3Kosowski5Petas5n = 10split evenly
S4Kosowski5Petas3n = 8Kosowski took 5 of 8
S5Kosowski1Petas2n = 3Petas took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiPetasK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.437.6−1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiPetasBasisWin rate · lifetime753 / 1276 vs 715 / 136159%52.5%753 / 1276 vs 715 / 1361Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKosowski 1.73/Petas 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski—11611113K. Petas—911881
WAug 31 · 11:40J. Kosowski—11511113K. Petas—911851
WAug 31 · 04:55J. Kosowski—1111113K. Petas—9850
LAug 25 · 09:20J. Kosowski—61241152K. Petas—1110119113
LAug 25 · 04:10J. Kosowski—4650K. Petas—1111113
LAug 19 · 10:00J. Kosowski—71111762K. Petas—117411113
WAug 19 · 05:40J. Kosowski—511811133K. Petas—118115112
LAug 16 · 12:30J. Kosowski—118781K. Petas—21111113
LAug 16 · 08:30J. Kosowski—1481191K. Petas—16119113
WAug 15 · 09:00J. Kosowski—11112113K. Petas—681131
J. Kosowski10
WSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871WSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 1 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.368680K. Kolodziej3.001111113WSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291LSep 1 · 10:00P. Cyrnek1.8371111113J. Kosowski1.83116571WSep 1 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.3011116113K. Strowski3.40491171WSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881WSep 1 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.6361111113M. Jadczyk2.10117781
K. Petas10
WSep 1 · 12:55P. Cyrnek1.61811571K. Petas2.2011511113WSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142LSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133WSep 1 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.671151271K. Petas2.10131110113LSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881WSep 1 · 07:20K. Petas1.501110118113J. Kuzmicz2.5081271162LSep 1 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.61118911113K. Petas2.2081111342LSep 1 · 04:55P. Cyrnek1.5711124113K. Petas2.258101191WSep 1 · 03:25D. Prokopcov3.0061170K. Petas1.361113113WAug 31 · 14:10K. Petas1.5751111113K. Wloczko2.25117861
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