TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052039
Played Sep 1Finished
Krystian Kolodziej
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11135111210711––
Kacper Petas
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrystian Kolodziej to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKrystian Kolodziej above · Kacper Petas below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 80 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Krystian Kolodziej at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Kolodziej 7–4 Kacper Petas Kacper Petas has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kolodziej
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Kolodziej
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1861 vs Petas 1823
Kolodziej
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 60% vs Petas 40%
Kolodziej
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 70% vs Petas 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej +2 · Petas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolodziej)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 1.67 / Petas 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolodziej)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13052039
Kolodziej1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite76% won 532 of 698
Up 2–0, closes it98% 333 of 340
Up 1–0, closes it88% 436 of 496
Petas2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 131 of 283
Down 0–1, comes back19% 25 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolodziej6wins
AwayPetas4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolodziej leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolodziej71.4%5 of 7
AwayPetas66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolodziej7Petas3n = 10Kolodziej took 7 of 10
S2Kolodziej6Petas4n = 10Kolodziej took 6 of 10
S3Kolodziej5Petas5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolodziej3Petas2n = 5Kolodziej took 3 of 5
S5Kolodziej1Petas2n = 3Petas took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolodziejPetasK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.035.8−0.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejPetasBasisWin rate · lifetime1322 / 1958 vs 713 / 135967.5%52.5%1322 / 1958 vs 713 / 1359Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolodziejKolodziej 1.67/Petas 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolodziej · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 29 · 12:30K. Kolodziej—14116153K. Petas—12711131
LJun 27 · 12:30K. Kolodziej—14611822K. Petas—1211711113
LDec 15 · 16:55K. Kolodziej—2580K. Petas—1111113
LNov 2 · 12:10K. Kolodziej—3440K. Petas—1111113
WSep 28 · 18:40K. Kolodziej—71111113K. Petas—116751
LJun 22 · 21:35K. Kolodziej—13115682K. Petas—1161111113
WMar 23 · 19:20K. Kolodziej—116711193K. Petas—911119172
WFeb 28 · 10:55K. Kolodziej—1211113K. Petas—10980
WFeb 26 · 18:00K. Kolodziej—1111113K. Petas—6570
WJan 23 · 02:30K. Kolodziej—1111113K. Petas—4480
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123WSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752WSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113LSep 4 · 12:05D. Michna1.671111113K. Kolodziej2.109480WSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113
K. Petas10
WSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133WSep 1 · 12:55P. Cyrnek1.61811571K. Petas2.2011511113WSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142LSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133LSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881WSep 1 · 07:20K. Petas1.501110118113J. Kuzmicz2.5081271162LSep 1 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.61118911113K. Petas2.2081111342LSep 1 · 04:55P. Cyrnek1.5711124113K. Petas2.258101191WSep 1 · 03:25D. Prokopcov3.0061170K. Petas1.361113113WAug 31 · 14:10K. Petas1.5751111113K. Wloczko2.25117861
Upcoming Matches
K. Kolodziej1 of 6 neutral
K. Petas
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