TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052085
Played Sep 1Finished
Piotr Cyrnek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711116115117––
Jakub Kosowski
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Cyrnek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Cyrnek above · Jakub Kosowski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 69 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Piotr Cyrnek at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Cyrnek 19–21 Jakub Kosowski Piotr Cyrnek has won 19 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:07What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kosowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-21 in 40
Kosowski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyrnek 1935 vs Kosowski 1907
Cyrnek
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyrnek 60% vs Kosowski 80%
Kosowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyrnek 50% vs Kosowski 70%
Kosowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyrnek +1 · Kosowski +4
Kosowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kosowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyrnek 1.83 / Kosowski 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kosowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13052085
Cyrnek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kosowski1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCyrnek5wins
AwayKosowski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyrnek75%3 of 4
AwayKosowski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyrnek4Kosowski6n = 10Kosowski took 6 of 10
S2Cyrnek5Kosowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Cyrnek5Kosowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Cyrnek5Kosowski3n = 8Cyrnek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCyrnekKosowskiC − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.239.9−1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCyrnekKosowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 422 vs 753 / 127656.9%59%240 / 422 vs 753 / 1276Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiCyrnek 1.83/Kosowski 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cyrnek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 3 · 12:30P. Cyrnek—891451J. Kosowski—111112113
WJul 3 · 03:25P. Cyrnek—11117113J. Kosowski—491171
LJun 15 · 13:45P. Cyrnek—10121041J. Kosowski—121012113
WJun 15 · 08:30P. Cyrnek—21211113J. Kosowski—1110691
WMay 26 · 12:50P. Cyrnek—871111123J. Kosowski—111159102
LMay 26 · 09:10P. Cyrnek—14891192J. Kosowski—1211117113
LApr 27 · 10:00P. Cyrnek—79110J. Kosowski—1111133
WApr 27 · 09:10P. Cyrnek—15312113J. Kosowski—13111081
LDec 9 · 15:50P. Cyrnek—711961J. Kosowski—11911113
WDec 9 · 10:35P. Cyrnek—1111113J. Kosowski—8890
P. Cyrnek10
LSep 2 · 13:45P. Cyrnek1.5711711772M. Jadczyk2.25611911113WSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:15P. Cyrnek1.50715118132K. Wloczko2.501113811153WSep 2 · 10:00P. David1.5011119972P. Cyrnek2.50861111113WSep 2 · 09:20P. Cyrnek1.4411511113K. Kolodziej2.63711781WSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 06:55P. Cyrnek1.5071111692M. Jadczyk2.50114611113LSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113WSep 2 · 04:10P. Cyrnek2.201116143P. David1.61914120WSep 2 · 03:00P. Cyrnek1.4411812113K. Wloczko2.639111061
J. Kosowski10
WSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871WSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133LSep 1 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.368680K. Kolodziej3.001111113WSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291WSep 1 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.3011116113K. Strowski3.40491171WSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881WSep 1 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.6361111113M. Jadczyk2.10117781
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