TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052031
Played Sep 1Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611811––––
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:56 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 69.6%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 2–1 Krystian Kolodziej Krystian Kolodziej has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kosowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1904 vs Kolodziej 1826
Kosowski
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 80% vs Kolodziej 40%
Kosowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 60% vs Kolodziej 40%
Kosowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski +1 · Kolodziej -3
Kolodziej
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Kosowski) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.36 / Kolodziej 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Kosowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13052031
Kosowski1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 289 of 445
Up 2–0, closes it94% 134 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it85% 225 of 265
Kolodziej3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 66 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back21% 23 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKosowski2wins
AwayKolodziej1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKosowski leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski1Kolodziej2n = 3Kolodziej took 2 of 3
S2Kosowski2Kolodziej1n = 3Kosowski took 2 of 3
S3Kosowski3Kolodziej0n = 3Kosowski took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKosowskiKolodziejKosowski − KolodziejBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match39.033.7+5.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime753 / 1276 vs 1322 / 196059%67.5%753 / 1276 vs 1322 / 1960Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKosowski 1.36/Kolodziej 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.6%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 15 · 15:30J. Kosowski—412111192K. Kolodziej—111469113
WJan 13 · 21:10J. Kosowski—41111113K. Kolodziej—119551
WJan 8 · 18:55J. Kosowski—1111113K. Kolodziej—9560
J. Kosowski10
WSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113WSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871WSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133WSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291LSep 1 · 10:00P. Cyrnek1.8371111113J. Kosowski1.83116571WSep 1 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.3011116113K. Strowski3.40491171WSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123WSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752WSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113LSep 4 · 12:05D. Michna1.671111113K. Kolodziej2.109480WSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113
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