TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087217
Played Sep 7Finished
Szymon Kolasa
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113711611––––
Jakub Kosowski
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:59 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSzymon Kolasa above · Jakub Kosowski below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 59 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 61.2%
59 points played in total.
H2H Szymon Kolasa 9–14 Jakub Kosowski Szymon Kolasa has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kosowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Kosowski
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolasa 1882 vs Kosowski 1959
Kosowski
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolasa 60% vs Kosowski 80%
Kosowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolasa 70% vs Kosowski 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolasa +2 · Kosowski +4
Kosowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kosowski) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolasa 2.10 / Kosowski 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kosowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13087217
Kolasa2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 65 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back35% 30 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back15% 6 of 40
Kosowski1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 294 of 449
Up 2–0, closes it94% 136 of 144
Up 1–0, closes it85% 229 of 270
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolasa2wins
AwayKosowski8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKosowski leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolasa33.3%1 of 3
AwayKosowski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolasa3Kosowski7n = 10Kosowski took 7 of 10
S2Kolasa3Kosowski7n = 10Kosowski took 7 of 10
S3Kolasa2Kosowski8n = 10Kosowski took 8 of 10
S4Kolasa2Kosowski2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolasaKosowskiKolasa − KosowskiBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.437.6−6.2per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolasaKosowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 530 vs 745 / 126054.9%59.1%291 / 530 vs 745 / 1260Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKolasa 2.10/Kosowski 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kosowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa—11760J. Kosowski—1311113
LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa—6270J. Kosowski—1111113
WJul 14 · 03:25S. Kolasa—1111113J. Kosowski—8980
LJul 7 · 03:25S. Kolasa—124811102J. Kosowski—1011117123
LJul 3 · 08:30S. Kolasa—91290J. Kosowski—1114113
LJul 2 · 14:10S. Kolasa—711100J. Kosowski—1113123
WJul 2 · 07:20S. Kolasa—131211113J. Kosowski—1510691
LFeb 11 · 16:10S. Kolasa—1291151J. Kosowski—101113113
LFeb 11 · 07:15S. Kolasa—811591J. Kosowski—11911113
LFeb 10 · 11:00S. Kolasa—5890J. Kosowski—1111113
S. Kolasa10
WSep 7 · 08:30S. Kolasa1.4011115113G. Poliniewicz2.75381141WSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621WSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162WSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123
J. Kosowski10
WSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871WSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133LSep 1 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.368680K. Kolodziej3.001111113WSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291LSep 1 · 10:00P. Cyrnek1.8371111113J. Kosowski1.83116571WSep 1 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.3011116113K. Strowski3.40491171WSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881
Upcoming Matches
S. Kolasa
J. Kosowski1 of 6 neutral
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