TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052093
Played Sep 1Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114119611117––
Karol Strowski
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:07 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Karol Strowski below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 74.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 6–1 Karol Strowski Karol Strowski has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kosowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Kosowski
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1897 vs Strowski 1823
Kosowski
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 60% vs Strowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 70% vs Strowski 50%
Kosowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski +3 · Strowski +1
Kosowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kosowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.30 / Strowski 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kosowski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13052093
Kosowski1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 289 of 445
Up 2–0, closes it94% 134 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it85% 225 of 265
Strowski3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 77 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back25% 29 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKosowski6wins
AwayStrowski1wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKosowski leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski100%4 of 4
AwayStrowski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski4Strowski3n = 7Kosowski took 4 of 7
S2Kosowski5Strowski2n = 7Kosowski took 5 of 7
S3Kosowski6Strowski1n = 7Kosowski took 6 of 7
S4Kosowski3Strowski1n = 4Kosowski took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKosowskiStrowskiK − SBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match38.331.3+7.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiStrowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime753 / 1276 vs 835 / 141559%59%753 / 1276 vs 835 / 1415Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKosowski 1.30/Strowski 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kosowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 20 · 14:35J. Kosowski—1112133K. Strowski—610110
WJul 13 · 11:40J. Kosowski—118811113K. Strowski—51111752
WJul 7 · 14:10J. Kosowski—1112113K. Strowski—81080
WJan 8 · 15:05J. Kosowski—61312133K. Strowski—111110111
LDec 29 · 13:50J. Kosowski—981161K. Strowski—11114113
WOct 28 · 12:35J. Kosowski—51111113K. Strowski—119131
WJan 8 · 19:35J. Kosowski—1111113K. Strowski—9590
J. Kosowski10
WSep 8 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.6712611133A. Wiecek2.1010118111WSep 8 · 08:30J. Kosowski2.101211143M. Olejnik1.67105120LSep 8 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.739131191T. Spanik2.0011154113LSep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.677121191A. Wiecek2.1011146113LSep 8 · 04:10J. Kosowski2.3881151182J. Folwarski1.53115119113LSep 8 · 03:00J. Kosowski2.3811611642P. David1.53711711113LSep 7 · 14:35P. David1.611111143J. Kosowski2.2097120WSep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.5711811982J. Kosowski2.25911711113WSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113
K. Strowski10
WSep 7 · 19:40K. Strowski1.911251012113K. Glazowski1.801011121082LSep 7 · 18:30K. Strowski1.5781111662K. Kapik2.25118911113WSep 7 · 17:20K. Strowski1.221111811113K. Kostyk4.0049111332WSep 7 · 16:05K. Staszczyk3.50561131K. Strowski1.2811114113WSep 7 · 15:25K. Strowski1.6111111113M. Rutkowski2.20911341LSep 7 · 14:35K. Strowski1.7471161182K. Glazowski1.94115119113WSep 7 · 13:00K. Strowski1.6011115113G. Poliniewicz2.15971171WSep 7 · 11:45K. Strowski1.471113123K. Wisniewski2.45911100WSep 7 · 10:05K. Strowski1.43119116123M. Sklensky2.60911511102LSep 7 · 09:00K. Strowski2.5091312101K. Wloczko1.44111510123
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