TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092309
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111315114911––
Tibor Spanik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:30 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Tibor Spanik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 83 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 54.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 12–12 Tibor Spanik Dead even across their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kosowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-12 in 24
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1937 vs Spanik 1872
Kosowski
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 20% vs Spanik 60%
Spanik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 60% vs Spanik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski -4 · Spanik -1
Kosowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kosowski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.73 / Spanik 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kosowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13092309
Kosowski1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 295 of 447
Up 2–0, closes it95% 138 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it85% 230 of 270
Spanik2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 66 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back30% 18 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski4wins
AwaySpanik6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderSpanik leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski57.1%4 of 7
AwaySpanik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski7Spanik3n = 10Kosowski took 7 of 10
S2Kosowski2Spanik8n = 10Spanik took 8 of 10
S3Kosowski4Spanik6n = 10Spanik took 6 of 10
S4Kosowski6Spanik4n = 10Kosowski took 6 of 10
S5Kosowski3Spanik4n = 7Spanik took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiSpanikK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.143.3+0.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiSpanikBasisWin rate · lifetime745 / 1264 vs 228 / 40858.9%55.9%745 / 1264 vs 228 / 408Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKosowski 1.73/Spanik 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Spanik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 06:55J. Kosowski—9131191T. Spanik—11154113
WAug 31 · 10:00J. Kosowski—1110711113T. Spanik—81211942
WAug 31 · 05:40J. Kosowski—11511113T. Spanik—511661
LAug 18 · 12:30J. Kosowski—11861192T. Spanik—911119113
LAug 18 · 03:00J. Kosowski—11891252T. Spanik—8111110113
LAug 6 · 11:40J. Kosowski—97111182T. Spanik—111198113
LAug 6 · 04:55J. Kosowski—611151T. Spanik—11117113
LAug 2 · 12:55J. Kosowski—111281092T. Spanik—7101112113
WAug 2 · 04:55J. Kosowski—111279113T. Spanik—510111132
WJul 20 · 09:20J. Kosowski—1191011113T. Spanik—81112512
J. Kosowski10
LSep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.677121191A. Wiecek2.1011146113LSep 8 · 04:10J. Kosowski2.3881151182J. Folwarski1.53115119113LSep 8 · 03:00J. Kosowski2.3811611642P. David1.53711711113LSep 7 · 14:35P. David1.611111143J. Kosowski2.2097120WSep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.5711811982J. Kosowski2.25911711113WSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113WSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871WSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113
T. Spanik10
LSep 8 · 06:05T. Spanik1.9181111782M. Olejnik1.80117911113WSep 8 · 04:30T. Spanik2.751111610113P. David1.4047111262WSep 8 · 03:45A. Wiecek2.00181174102T. Spanik1.731691111123WAug 31 · 13:45T. Spanik1.61101111113M. Jadczyk2.20123431LAug 31 · 12:30T. Spanik1.831110111562K. Petas1.831312613113WAug 31 · 11:15T. Spanik1.731111113K. Wloczko2.007540LAug 31 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.671110711113T. Spanik2.1081211942LAug 31 · 09:20T. Spanik1.5711771182K. Strowski2.25511114113WAug 31 · 08:30T. Spanik1.73811911113K. Petas2.0011811762LAug 31 · 06:55T. Spanik1.7371111161M. Jadczyk2.0011135183
Upcoming Matches
J. Kosowski
T. Spanik
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.