TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13047688
Played Aug 31Finished
Tibor Spanik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71111131151618––
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTibor Spanik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTibor Spanik above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 16-18
Point 92 set 4, 16-18 — our read held Tibor Spanik at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Spanik 22–17 Marcin Jadczyk Marcin Jadczyk has won 17 of their 39 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:45What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Spanik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-17 in 39
Spanik
Wrong
gap of 5 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Spanik 1842 vs Jadczyk 1898
Jadczyk
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spanik 60% vs Jadczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spanik 60% vs Jadczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Spanik -1 · Jadczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Spanik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpanik 1.73 / Jadczyk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Spanik)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13047688
Spanik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 147 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it92% 71 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it76% 106 of 140
Jadczyk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 145 of 317
Down 0–1, comes back28% 42 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSpanik5wins
AwayJadczyk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSpanik66.7%2 of 3
AwayJadczyk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spanik3Jadczyk6n = 9Jadczyk took 6 of 9
S2Spanik6Jadczyk3n = 9Spanik took 6 of 9
S3Spanik3Jadczyk6n = 9Jadczyk took 6 of 9
S4Spanik7Jadczyk1n = 8Spanik took 7 of 8
S5Spanik0Jadczyk3n = 3Jadczyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSpanikJadczykS − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match39.439.1+0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpanikJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 404 vs 971 / 165755.7%58.6%225 / 404 vs 971 / 1657Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SpanikSpanik 1.73/Jadczyk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Spanik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 31 · 13:45T. Spanik—101111113M. Jadczyk—123431
LAug 31 · 06:55T. Spanik—71111161M. Jadczyk—11135183
WAug 30 · 10:25T. Spanik—11125113M. Jadczyk—9101151
LAug 30 · 04:30T. Spanik—3460M. Jadczyk—1111113
LAug 17 · 12:05T. Spanik—61181152M. Jadczyk—119119113
WAug 17 · 07:45T. Spanik—16113123M. Jadczyk—14511101
WAug 7 · 15:00T. Spanik—81311113M. Jadczyk—1111651
LAug 7 · 06:55T. Spanik—81181152M. Jadczyk—117114113
LAug 6 · 12:55T. Spanik—111171162M. Jadczyk—613116113
T. Spanik10
WAug 31 · 13:45T. Spanik1.61101111113M. Jadczyk2.20123431LAug 31 · 12:30T. Spanik1.831110111562K. Petas1.831312613113WAug 31 · 11:15T. Spanik1.731111113K. Wloczko2.007540LAug 31 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.671110711113T. Spanik2.1081211942LAug 31 · 09:20T. Spanik1.5711771182K. Strowski2.25511114113WAug 31 · 08:30T. Spanik1.73811911113K. Petas2.0011811762LAug 31 · 05:40T. Spanik2.25511661J. Kosowski1.5711511113WAug 31 · 04:10T. Spanik1.4011114113D. Kosmal2.751151241WAug 31 · 03:00T. Spanik1.671111113K. Wloczko2.109950LAug 30 · 14:10M. Gawlas3.001211173T. Spanik1.36109150
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871LSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591WSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282WSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113LSep 4 · 14:10A. Grela2.10129147113M. Jadczyk1.671011121182LSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113WSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113LAug 31 · 13:45T. Spanik1.61101111113M. Jadczyk2.20123431
Upcoming Matches
T. Spanik
Sep 8 · 03:45T. Spanik1.73A. Wiecek2.00—Sep 8 · 04:30T. Spanik2.75P. David1.40—Sep 8 · 06:05T. Spanik1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 8 · 06:55T. Spanik2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 8 · 07:45T. Spanik—J. Folwarski——Sep 8 · 09:00T. Spanik—K. Kolodziej——Sep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.73K. Wloczko2.00—Sep 8 · 12:55T. Spanik1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 8 · 14:35T. Spanik1.73A. Wiecek2.00—
M. Jadczyk
Nothing scheduled
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