TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13047707
Played Aug 31Finished
Tibor Spanik
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1111151412114––
Dawid Kosmal
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:44 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeTibor Spanik to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTibor Spanik above · Dawid Kosmal below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 69 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Tibor Spanik at 69.1%
69 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:44What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Spanik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Spanik 1844 vs Kosmal 1638
Spanik
Correct
both rated, 206 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spanik 80% vs Kosmal 40%
Spanik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spanik 50% vs Kosmal 70%
Kosmal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Spanik +1 · Kosmal -3
Kosmal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Spanik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpanik 1.40 / Kosmal 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Spanik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13047707
Spanik1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 142 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it76% 104 of 137
Kosmal2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 61 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back24% 21 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpanikKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 395 vs 343 / 62856%54.6%221 / 395 vs 343 / 628Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SpanikSpanik 1.40/Kosmal 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Spanik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Spanik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Spanik10
WAug 31 · 13:45T. Spanik1.61101111113M. Jadczyk2.20123431LAug 31 · 12:30T. Spanik1.831110111562K. Petas1.831312613113WAug 31 · 11:15T. Spanik1.731111113K. Wloczko2.007540LAug 31 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.671110711113T. Spanik2.1081211942LAug 31 · 09:20T. Spanik1.5711771182K. Strowski2.25511114113WAug 31 · 08:30T. Spanik1.73811911113K. Petas2.0011811762LAug 31 · 06:55T. Spanik1.7371111161M. Jadczyk2.0011135183LAug 31 · 05:40T. Spanik2.25511661J. Kosowski1.5711511113WAug 31 · 03:00T. Spanik1.671111113K. Wloczko2.109950LAug 30 · 14:10M. Gawlas3.001211173T. Spanik1.36109150
D. Kosmal10
WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 11:20A. Spychala2.00116118113D. Kosmal1.7171171162LSep 1 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.20611117113D. Kosmal1.5811661182LSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961WSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780WSep 1 · 06:25D. Kosmal1.301113113M. Minda3.2091160LSep 1 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.52118841J. Zochniak2.3061111113WSep 1 · 04:00S. Brud3.40114981D. Kosmal1.2671111113WSep 1 · 03:20D. Kosmal1.3214117113A. Sobel3.051291151
Upcoming Matches
T. Spanik
Sep 8 · 03:45T. Spanik1.73A. Wiecek2.00—Sep 8 · 04:30T. Spanik2.75P. David1.40—Sep 8 · 06:05T. Spanik1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 8 · 06:55T. Spanik2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 8 · 07:45T. Spanik—J. Folwarski——Sep 8 · 09:00T. Spanik—K. Kolodziej——Sep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.73K. Wloczko2.00—Sep 8 · 12:55T. Spanik1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 8 · 14:35T. Spanik1.73A. Wiecek2.00—
D. Kosmal
Nothing scheduled
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