TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13047700
Played Aug 31Finished
Tibor Spanik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111310121161513611
Kacper Petas
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTibor Spanik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTibor Spanik above · Kacper Petas below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 108 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Tibor Spanik at 54.0%
108 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Spanik 13–4 Kacper Petas Kacper Petas has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:43What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Petas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-4 in 17
Spanik
Wrong
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Spanik 1840 vs Petas 1841
Petas
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spanik 40% vs Petas 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spanik 50% vs Petas 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Spanik +1 · Petas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Petas) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petas form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpanik 1.83 / Petas 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Petas)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13047700
Spanik1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Petas1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSpanik6wins
AwayPetas4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSpanik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSpanik100%4 of 4
AwayPetas66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spanik4Petas6n = 10Petas took 6 of 10
S2Spanik3Petas7n = 10Petas took 7 of 10
S3Spanik4Petas6n = 10Petas took 6 of 10
S4Spanik5Petas2n = 7Spanik took 5 of 7
S5Spanik3Petas0n = 3Spanik took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSpanikPetasS − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.937.6−0.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpanikPetasBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 402 vs 709 / 135455.7%52.4%224 / 402 vs 709 / 1354Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetasSpanik 1.83/Petas 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Petas · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 21 · 12:05T. Spanik—711761K. Petas—11911113
WJun 21 · 09:40T. Spanik—711911113K. Petas—11711652
WJun 21 · 07:20T. Spanik—911117113K. Petas—11491192
LJun 21 · 04:55T. Spanik—6750K. Petas—1111113
WJun 20 · 11:15T. Spanik—12813113K. Petas—10111191
WJun 20 · 09:00T. Spanik—118611113K. Petas—91111852
LJun 20 · 07:20T. Spanik—10890K. Petas—1211113
LJun 20 · 04:55T. Spanik—8590K. Petas—1111113
WJun 19 · 14:35T. Spanik—11811113K. Petas—811571
WJun 19 · 06:30T. Spanik—11811113K. Petas—611891
T. Spanik10
WAug 31 · 13:45T. Spanik1.61101111113M. Jadczyk2.20123431WAug 31 · 11:15T. Spanik1.731111113K. Wloczko2.007540LAug 31 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.671110711113T. Spanik2.1081211942LAug 31 · 09:20T. Spanik1.5711771182K. Strowski2.25511114113WAug 31 · 08:30T. Spanik1.73811911113K. Petas2.0011811762LAug 31 · 06:55T. Spanik1.7371111161M. Jadczyk2.0011135183LAug 31 · 05:40T. Spanik2.25511661J. Kosowski1.5711511113WAug 31 · 04:10T. Spanik1.4011114113D. Kosmal2.751151241WAug 31 · 03:00T. Spanik1.671111113K. Wloczko2.109950LAug 30 · 14:10M. Gawlas3.001211173T. Spanik1.36109150
K. Petas10
WSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133WSep 1 · 12:55P. Cyrnek1.61811571K. Petas2.2011511113WSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142LSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133WSep 1 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.671151271K. Petas2.10131110113LSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881WSep 1 · 07:20K. Petas1.501110118113J. Kuzmicz2.5081271162LSep 1 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.61118911113K. Petas2.2081111342LSep 1 · 04:55P. Cyrnek1.5711124113K. Petas2.258101191LAug 31 · 08:30T. Spanik1.73811911113K. Petas2.0011811762
Upcoming Matches
T. Spanik
Sep 8 · 03:45T. Spanik1.73A. Wiecek2.00—Sep 8 · 04:30T. Spanik2.75P. David1.40—Sep 8 · 06:05T. Spanik1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 8 · 06:55T. Spanik2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 8 · 07:45T. Spanik2.63J. Folwarski1.44—Sep 8 · 09:00T. Spanik1.61K. Kolodziej2.20—Sep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.73K. Wloczko2.00—Sep 8 · 12:55T. Spanik1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 8 · 14:35T. Spanik1.73A. Wiecek2.00—
K. Petas
Nothing scheduled
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