TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13047650
Played Aug 31Finished
Tibor Spanik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115114––––
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:36 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeTibor Spanik to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTibor Spanik above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 49 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Tibor Spanik at 56.6%
49 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Spanik 6–9 Krzysztof Wloczko Tibor Spanik has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:36What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Spanik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Wloczko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Spanik 1809 vs Wloczko 1869
Wloczko
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spanik 20% vs Wloczko 80%
Wloczko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spanik 50% vs Wloczko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Spanik -2 · Wloczko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Spanik) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpanik 1.73 / Wloczko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Spanik)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13047650
Spanik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 147 of 254
Up 2–0, closes it92% 72 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it77% 108 of 141
Wloczko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 153 of 389
Down 0–1, comes back19% 40 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSpanik3wins
AwayWloczko7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWloczko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSpanik60%3 of 5
AwayWloczko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spanik5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S2Spanik4Wloczko6n = 10Wloczko took 6 of 10
S3Spanik5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S4Spanik1Wloczko4n = 5Wloczko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSpanikWloczkoS − WBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.136.2−2.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpanikWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 401 vs 949 / 181155.6%52.4%223 / 401 vs 949 / 1811Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SpanikSpanik 1.73/Wloczko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Spanik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Spanik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 14:15T. Spanik—1112113K. Wloczko—71040
LAug 2 · 09:00T. Spanik—10660K. Wloczko—1211113
LAug 2 · 06:30T. Spanik—125851K. Wloczko—101111113
LJul 20 · 11:15T. Spanik—85111162K. Wloczko—111189113
LJun 22 · 12:30T. Spanik—10119111K. Wloczko—12711133
WJun 22 · 08:30T. Spanik—1311113K. Wloczko—11990
LJun 21 · 11:15T. Spanik—115100K. Wloczko—1311123
LJun 21 · 09:00T. Spanik—11116121K. Wloczko—81311143
WJun 21 · 06:05T. Spanik—1411113K. Wloczko—12350
LJun 21 · 03:45T. Spanik—8101171K. Wloczko—11126113
T. Spanik10
WAug 31 · 13:45T. Spanik1.61101111113M. Jadczyk2.20123431LAug 31 · 12:30T. Spanik1.831110111562K. Petas1.831312613113LAug 31 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.671110711113T. Spanik2.1081211942LAug 31 · 09:20T. Spanik1.5711771182K. Strowski2.25511114113WAug 31 · 08:30T. Spanik1.73811911113K. Petas2.0011811762LAug 31 · 06:55T. Spanik1.7371111161M. Jadczyk2.0011135183LAug 31 · 05:40T. Spanik2.25511661J. Kosowski1.5711511113WAug 31 · 04:10T. Spanik1.4011114113D. Kosmal2.751151241WAug 31 · 03:00T. Spanik1.671111113K. Wloczko2.109950LAug 30 · 14:10M. Gawlas3.001211173T. Spanik1.36109150
K. Wloczko10
WSep 7 · 11:20M. Sklensky2.327820K. Wloczko1.521111113LSep 7 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz3.1011911123K. Wloczko1.307116101WSep 7 · 09:00K. Strowski2.5091312101K. Wloczko1.44111510123WSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192WSep 4 · 12:35J. Zochniak4.955980K. Wloczko1.131111113LSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682WSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:45K. Wloczko1.65811581G. Poliniewicz2.0511611113WSep 3 · 08:05S. Dosz1.57951531K. Wloczko2.25111113113LAug 31 · 03:00T. Spanik1.671111113K. Wloczko2.109950
Upcoming Matches
T. Spanik
Sep 8 · 03:45T. Spanik1.73A. Wiecek2.00—Sep 8 · 04:30T. Spanik2.75P. David1.40—Sep 8 · 06:05T. Spanik1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 8 · 06:55T. Spanik2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 8 · 07:45T. Spanik2.63J. Folwarski1.44—Sep 8 · 09:00T. Spanik1.61K. Kolodziej2.20—Sep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.73K. Wloczko2.00—Sep 8 · 12:55T. Spanik1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 8 · 14:35T. Spanik1.73A. Wiecek2.00—
K. Wloczko
Sep 7 · 13:25K. Wloczko1.49K. Glazowski2.39—Sep 7 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.29K. Wisniewski3.20—Sep 8 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.38M. Olejnik1.53—Sep 8 · 10:50K. Wloczko2.75A. Wiecek1.40—Sep 8 · 11:40K. Wloczko2.00T. Spanik1.73—Sep 8 · 12:30K. Wloczko3.00J. Kosowski1.36—Sep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.80K. Kolodziej1.91—
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