TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092323
Played Sep 8Finished
Tibor Spanik
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1141176111012116
Petr David
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:30 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTibor Spanik above · Petr David below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 89 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Petr David at 67.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Spanik 6–11 Petr David Tibor Spanik has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:30What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
David
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
David
Wrong
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Spanik 1854 vs David 1962
David
Wrong
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spanik 60% vs David 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spanik 50% vs David 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Spanik +2 · David +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans David)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- David form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpanik 2.75 / David 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (David)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13092323
Spanik2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog52% won 66 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back30% 18 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25
David1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 238 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it97% 124 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it82% 181 of 221
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSpanik3wins
AwayDavid7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSpanik33.3%1 of 3
AwayDavid71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spanik3David7n = 10David took 7 of 10
S2Spanik4David6n = 10David took 6 of 10
S3Spanik3David7n = 10David took 7 of 10
S4Spanik2David5n = 7David took 5 of 7
S5Spanik2David1n = 3Spanik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSpanikDavidS − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.340.3−5.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpanikDavidBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 405 vs 652 / 99255.8%65.7%226 / 405 vs 652 / 992Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidSpanik 2.75/David 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Spanik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 10:00T. Spanik—11118113P. David—891141
LAug 2 · 05:40T. Spanik—721371P. David—111111113
LMay 6 · 11:10T. Spanik—9770P. David—1111113
WMay 6 · 07:05T. Spanik—811811153P. David—119119132
LMay 5 · 05:05T. Spanik—8111391P. David—11715113
LMay 4 · 13:15T. Spanik—119851P. David—51111113
LMay 4 · 07:15T. Spanik—119111082P. David—811712113
LApr 11 · 13:15T. Spanik—6640P. David—1111113
LApr 11 · 07:15T. Spanik—7470P. David—1111113
WApr 10 · 11:10T. Spanik—811119113P. David—11991142
T. Spanik10
WSep 8 · 03:45A. Wiecek2.00181174102T. Spanik1.731691111123WAug 31 · 13:45T. Spanik1.61101111113M. Jadczyk2.20123431LAug 31 · 12:30T. Spanik1.831110111562K. Petas1.831312613113WAug 31 · 11:15T. Spanik1.731111113K. Wloczko2.007540LAug 31 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.671110711113T. Spanik2.1081211942LAug 31 · 09:20T. Spanik1.5711771182K. Strowski2.25511114113WAug 31 · 08:30T. Spanik1.73811911113K. Petas2.0011811762LAug 31 · 06:55T. Spanik1.7371111161M. Jadczyk2.0011135183LAug 31 · 05:40T. Spanik2.25511661J. Kosowski1.5711511113WAug 31 · 04:10T. Spanik1.4011114113D. Kosmal2.751151241
P. David10
WSep 8 · 05:15J. Folwarski1.61111197102P. David2.20651111123WSep 8 · 03:00J. Kosowski2.3811611642P. David1.53711711113WSep 7 · 14:35P. David1.611111143J. Kosowski2.2097120LSep 7 · 12:55P. David2.201297101J. Folwarski1.61101111123LSep 7 · 11:40P. David1.3061381162K. Kolodziej3.401111115113WSep 7 · 10:00P. David1.73141711113S. Kolasa2.001219361LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Spanik
Sep 8 · 06:05T. Spanik1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 8 · 06:55T. Spanik2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 8 · 07:45T. Spanik2.63J. Folwarski1.44—Sep 8 · 09:00T. Spanik1.61K. Kolodziej2.20—Sep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.73K. Wloczko2.00—Sep 8 · 12:55T. Spanik1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 8 · 14:35T. Spanik1.73A. Wiecek2.00—
P. David
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