TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092349
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117611117611411
Petr David
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:30 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Petr David below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 85 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Petr David at 58.1%
85 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 39–44 Petr David Jakub Kosowski has won 39 of their 83 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
They have already met 2 times today · last one 12h before this match
David beat Kosowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:30What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
David
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-44 in 83
David
Correct
gap of 5 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1986 vs David 1950
Kosowski
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 80% vs David 40%
Kosowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 70% vs David 50%
Kosowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski -1 · David +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans David) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- David form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 2.38 / David 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (David)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13092349
Kosowski2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 42 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
David1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 238 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it97% 124 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it82% 181 of 221
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski5wins
AwayDavid5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski57.1%4 of 7
AwayDavid66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski7David3n = 10Kosowski took 7 of 10
S2Kosowski3David7n = 10David took 7 of 10
S3Kosowski4David6n = 10David took 6 of 10
S4Kosowski5David3n = 8Kosowski took 5 of 8
S5Kosowski2David2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiDavidK − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.842.3−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiDavidBasisWin rate · lifetime747 / 1263 vs 651 / 99159.1%65.7%747 / 1263 vs 651 / 991Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidKosowski 2.38/David 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 14:35J. Kosowski—97120P. David—1111143
WSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski—1212113P. David—101090
LAug 5 · 11:15J. Kosowski—119761P. David—71111113
WAug 5 · 04:10J. Kosowski—11126113P. David—8101151
LAug 2 · 13:45J. Kosowski—11571182P. David—811118113
LAug 2 · 08:30J. Kosowski—671181P. David—11118113
WAug 1 · 14:35J. Kosowski—1311713123P. David—1551111102
WAug 1 · 06:30J. Kosowski—11811173P. David—8117151
LJun 10 · 12:00J. Kosowski—11571462P. David—6111112113
WJun 10 · 05:50J. Kosowski—147119113P. David—121191172
J. Kosowski10
LSep 7 · 14:35P. David1.611111143J. Kosowski2.2097120WSep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.5711811982J. Kosowski2.25911711113WSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113WSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871WSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133LSep 1 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.368680K. Kolodziej3.001111113
P. David10
WSep 7 · 14:35P. David1.611111143J. Kosowski2.2097120LSep 7 · 12:55P. David2.201297101J. Folwarski1.61101111123LSep 7 · 11:40P. David1.3061381162K. Kolodziej3.401111115113WSep 7 · 10:00P. David1.73141711113S. Kolasa2.001219361LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121LSep 3 · 12:30P. David1.571081161A. Wiecek2.2512117113
Upcoming Matches
J. Kosowski
Sep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.67A. Wiecek2.10—Sep 8 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.73T. Spanik2.00—Sep 8 · 08:30J. Kosowski2.10M. Olejnik1.67—Sep 8 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.67A. Wiecek2.10—Sep 8 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.73T. Spanik2.00—Sep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.33K. Kolodziej3.25—Sep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.36K. Wloczko3.00—Sep 8 · 13:45J. Kosowski2.10M. Olejnik1.67—
P. David
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.