TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087164
Played Sep 7Finished
Petr David
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
14121719113116––
Szymon Kolasa
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:39 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr David above · Szymon Kolasa below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 17-19
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 93 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Petr David at 54.5%
93 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 12–14 Szymon Kolasa Petr David has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
David
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-14 in 26
Kolasa
Wrong
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1943 vs Kolasa 1882
David
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 60% vs Kolasa 40%
David
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 50% vs Kolasa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David -1 · Kolasa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans David)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.73 / Kolasa 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (David)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13087164
David1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 238 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it97% 124 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it82% 181 of 221
Kolasa2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 65 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back35% 30 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back15% 6 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid7wins
AwayKolasa3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid66.7%6 of 9
AwayKolasan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David9Kolasa1n = 10David took 9 of 10
S2David5Kolasa5n = 10split evenly
S3David6Kolasa4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S4David5Kolasa4n = 9David took 5 of 9
S5David1Kolasa2n = 3Kolasa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidKolasaD − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match41.736.6+5.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidKolasaBasisWin rate · lifetime649 / 987 vs 291 / 53065.8%54.9%649 / 987 vs 291 / 530Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.73/Kolasa 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 05:40P. David—111111113S. Kolasa—613791
WAug 27 · 12:55P. David—141011113S. Kolasa—1212881
WAug 27 · 04:55P. David—61111113S. Kolasa—118431
WAug 4 · 14:10P. David—11711113S. Kolasa—711621
LAug 4 · 05:15P. David—11912762S. Kolasa—7111011113
LApr 10 · 04:05P. David—1112381S. Kolasa—71411113
WApr 9 · 15:35P. David—11128113S. Kolasa—7101191
WApr 9 · 07:40P. David—1111911113S. Kolasa—75111392
LFeb 11 · 15:30P. David—11117662S. Kolasa—781111113
WFeb 11 · 09:50P. David—1111113S. Kolasa—4840
P. David10
LSep 7 · 11:40P. David1.3061381162K. Kolodziej3.401111115113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121LSep 3 · 12:30P. David1.571081161A. Wiecek2.2512117113WSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151WSep 3 · 10:00A. Dosz2.001110761P. David1.7391211113LSep 3 · 09:20P. David1.367117101S. Dosz3.0011411123
S. Kolasa10
LSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113WSep 7 · 08:30S. Kolasa1.4011115113G. Poliniewicz2.75381141WSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113LSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621
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