TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087160
Played Sep 7Finished
Petr David
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111311811115611
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:40 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr David above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 93 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Petr David at 74.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 19–1 Krystian Kolodziej Krystian Kolodziej has won 1 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:40What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
David
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-1 in 20
David
Wrong
gap of 18 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1952 vs Kolodziej 1873
David
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 60% vs Kolodziej 40%
David
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 60% vs Kolodziej 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David +1 · Kolodziej -3
Kolodziej
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans David)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.30 / Kolodziej 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (David)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13087160
David1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 238 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it97% 124 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it82% 181 of 221
Kolodziej3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 72 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid9wins
AwayKolodziej1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid100%8 of 8
AwayKolodziejn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David8Kolodziej2n = 10David took 8 of 10
S2David6Kolodziej4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S3David7Kolodziej3n = 10David took 7 of 10
S4David5Kolodziej0n = 5David took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidKolodziejD − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.227.3+11.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime650 / 988 vs 1313 / 195165.8%67.3%650 / 988 vs 1313 / 1951Avg sets wonper match2.42.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.30/Kolodziej 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.7%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WFeb 22 · 20:30P. David—1211113K. Kolodziej—10860
WJan 20 · 16:55P. David—119711113K. Kolodziej—21111652
WJul 14 · 19:00P. David—111711113K. Kolodziej—519521
WJul 6 · 19:50P. David—11118113K. Kolodziej—491151
WJun 22 · 17:05P. David—1111113K. Kolodziej—8740
WJun 10 · 16:40P. David—1111113K. Kolodziej—8650
WJun 4 · 15:55P. David—1111123K. Kolodziej—94100
WJun 1 · 16:00P. David—91111113K. Kolodziej—113561
WMay 11 · 17:05P. David—11911123K. Kolodziej—4114101
LMay 6 · 18:35P. David—91590K. Kolodziej—1117113
P. David10
WSep 7 · 10:00P. David1.73141711113S. Kolasa2.001219361LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121LSep 3 · 12:30P. David1.571081161A. Wiecek2.2512117113WSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151WSep 3 · 10:00A. Dosz2.001110761P. David1.7391211113LSep 3 · 09:20P. David1.367117101S. Dosz3.0011411123
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 7 · 12:30S. Kolasa1.734111110113K. Kolodziej2.0011251282LSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113LSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123LSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151
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