TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087194
Played Sep 7Finished
Krystian Kolodziej
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115711811117911
Jakub Folwarski
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:48 and never touched — 82.2% is still 82.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Folwarski to win
82.2%
82.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrystian Kolodziej above · Jakub Folwarski below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jakub Folwarski at 82.2%
91 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:48What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Folwarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1889 vs Folwarski 2181
Folwarski
Correct
both rated, 292 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 80% vs Folwarski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 80% vs Folwarski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej -1 · Folwarski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Folwarski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 4.50 / Folwarski 1.17
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Folwarski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13087194
Kolodziej4.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 72 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Folwarski1.17
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite76% won 174 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it99% 73 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it89% 104 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejFolwarskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1330 / 1971 vs 293 / 39467.5%74.4%1330 / 1971 vs 293 / 394Avg sets wonper match2.42.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FolwarskiKolodziej 4.50/Folwarski 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.2%
Folwarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Folwarski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123WSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752WSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113LSep 4 · 12:05D. Michna1.671111113K. Kolodziej2.109480WSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113
J. Folwarski10
WAug 13 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.201111113K. Kolodziej4.338790LAug 13 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.3313711862M. Benes3.251111211113WAug 13 · 11:15J. Folwarski1.6171111113G. Felkel2.20118791WAug 13 · 10:00A. Abbasi2.637870J. Folwarski1.441111113WAug 13 · 09:20J. Folwarski1.301111113J. Braun3.405540WAug 13 · 08:40J. Folwarski1.141211113A. Daniel5.0010730WAug 13 · 07:15J. Folwarski1.441014119123M. Jadczyk2.631212711102LAug 13 · 06:10J. Folwarski1.449181131A. Abbasi2.6311205113WAug 13 · 04:05J. Folwarski1.221211113M. Domin4.0010560WAug 13 · 03:00J. Folwarski1.61101112113G. Felkel2.201251081
Upcoming Matches
K. Kolodziej2 of 8 neutral
Sep 7 · 11:40K. Kolodziej3.40P. David1.30—Sep 7 · 12:30K. Kolodziej2.00S. Kolasa1.73—Sep 7 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.38J. Zandecki1.53—Sep 8 · 09:00K. Kolodziej—T. Spanik——Sep 8 · 10:25K. Kolodziej—M. Olejnik——Sep 8 · 11:15K. Kolodziej—J. Kosowski——Sep 8 · 13:20K. Kolodziej—A. Wiecek——Sep 8 · 14:10K. Kolodziej—K. Wloczko——
J. Folwarski1 of 8 neutral
Sep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 7 · 12:55J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 7 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.33S. Kolasa3.25—Sep 8 · 03:25J. Folwarski—M. Olejnik——Sep 8 · 04:10J. Folwarski—J. Kosowski——Sep 8 · 05:15J. Folwarski—P. David——Sep 8 · 06:30J. Folwarski—A. Wiecek——Sep 8 · 07:45J. Folwarski—T. Spanik——
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