TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12410940
Played Aug 13Finished
Jakub Folwarski
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
101214121179111210
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched — 75.5% is still 75.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Folwarski to win
75.5%
75.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Folwarski above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 108 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Jakub Folwarski at 75.5%
108 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Folwarski 23–8 Marcin Jadczyk Marcin Jadczyk has won 8 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Folwarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-8 in 31
Folwarski
Correct
gap of 15 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Folwarski 2181 vs Jadczyk 1942
Folwarski
Correct
both rated, 239 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Folwarski 80% vs Jadczyk 60%
Folwarski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Folwarski 80% vs Jadczyk 40%
Folwarski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Folwarski -1 · Jadczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Folwarski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadczyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFolwarski 1.44 / Jadczyk 2.63
Signal prob.76% / 25%
Edge (Folwarski)+11.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12410940
Folwarski1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite76% won 174 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it99% 73 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it89% 104 of 117
Jadczyk2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 146 of 313
Down 0–1, comes back30% 45 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFolwarski8wins
AwayJadczyk2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFolwarski leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFolwarskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJadczyk25%2 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Folwarski2Jadczyk8n = 10Jadczyk took 8 of 10
S2Folwarski6Jadczyk4n = 10Folwarski took 6 of 10
S3Folwarski9Jadczyk1n = 10Folwarski took 9 of 10
S4Folwarski8Jadczyk1n = 9Folwarski took 8 of 9
S5Folwarski3Jadczyk2n = 5Folwarski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFolwarskiJadczykF − JBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match45.439.5+5.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFolwarskiJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 404 vs 928 / 157774.8%58.9%302 / 404 vs 928 / 1577Avg sets wonper match2.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FolwarskiFolwarski 1.44/Jadczyk 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.5%
Folwarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Folwarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 07:15J. Folwarski—1014119123M. Jadczyk—1212711102
WAug 7 · 10:50J. Folwarski—1181111123M. Jadczyk—131164102
LJul 15 · 12:05J. Folwarski—7111111102M. Jadczyk—116138123
WJul 11 · 13:45J. Folwarski—81111113M. Jadczyk—119871
WJul 11 · 06:55J. Folwarski—13711113M. Jadczyk—1111911
WJul 10 · 13:20J. Folwarski—111111113M. Jadczyk—136761
LJul 4 · 06:55J. Folwarski—116131162M. Jadczyk—1311117113
WJul 3 · 13:20J. Folwarski—871111113M. Jadczyk—11115982
WJun 24 · 13:45J. Folwarski—1112113M. Jadczyk—41040
WJun 24 · 06:55J. Folwarski—61111113M. Jadczyk—119691
J. Folwarski10
WSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113WAug 13 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.201111113K. Kolodziej4.338790LAug 13 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.3313711862M. Benes3.251111211113WAug 13 · 11:15J. Folwarski1.6171111113G. Felkel2.20118791WAug 13 · 10:00A. Abbasi2.637870J. Folwarski1.441111113WAug 13 · 09:20J. Folwarski1.301111113J. Braun3.405540WAug 13 · 08:40J. Folwarski1.141211113A. Daniel5.0010730LAug 13 · 06:10J. Folwarski1.449181131A. Abbasi2.6311205113WAug 13 · 04:05J. Folwarski1.221211113M. Domin4.0010560WAug 13 · 03:00J. Folwarski1.61101112113G. Felkel2.201251081
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871LSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591WSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282WSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113LSep 4 · 14:10A. Grela2.10129147113M. Jadczyk1.671011121182LSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113WSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113WSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113
Upcoming Matches
J. Folwarski
Sep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 7 · 12:55J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 7 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.33S. Kolasa3.25—Sep 8 · 03:25J. Folwarski1.30M. Olejnik3.40—Sep 8 · 04:10J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 8 · 05:15J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 8 · 06:30J. Folwarski—A. Wiecek——Sep 8 · 07:45J. Folwarski—T. Spanik——
M. Jadczyk
Nothing scheduled
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