TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12410984
Played Aug 13Finished
Jakub Folwarski
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115114––––
Josef Braun
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:43 and never touched — 88.1% is still 88.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Folwarski to win
88.1%
88.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Folwarski above · Josef Braun below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 47 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Jakub Folwarski at 88.1%
47 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Folwarski 8–2 Josef Braun Josef Braun has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Folwarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Folwarski
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Folwarski 2171 vs Braun 1849
Folwarski
Correct
both rated, 322 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Folwarski 80% vs Braun 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Folwarski 80% vs Braun 50%
Folwarski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Folwarski +2 · Braun +3
Braun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Folwarski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Braun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFolwarski 1.30 / Braun 3.40
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Folwarski)+15.8pp
TT Elite Series · #12410984
Folwarski1.30
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite76% won 168 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it99% 69 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it89% 100 of 112
Braun3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 88 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFolwarski8wins
AwayBraun2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFolwarski leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFolwarski100%4 of 4
AwayBraun33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Folwarski4Braun6n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S2Folwarski8Braun2n = 10Folwarski took 8 of 10
S3Folwarski7Braun3n = 10Folwarski took 7 of 10
S4Folwarski5Braun2n = 7Folwarski took 5 of 7
S5Folwarski2Braun1n = 3Folwarski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFolwarskiBraunF − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.337.0+3.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFolwarskiBraunBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 399 vs 476 / 91574.7%52%298 / 399 vs 476 / 915Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FolwarskiFolwarski 1.30/Braun 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.1%
Folwarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Folwarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 22 · 14:35J. Folwarski—713117123J. Braun—1111711102
WJul 16 · 12:55J. Folwarski—91111113J. Braun—114781
WJul 16 · 04:55J. Folwarski—51311113J. Braun—1111591
WMay 30 · 14:50J. Folwarski—1111123J. Braun—97100
WMay 30 · 09:35J. Folwarski—11127113J. Braun—7101171
LApr 22 · 12:00J. Folwarski—115611112J. Braun—1113116133
WNov 22 · 12:35J. Folwarski—6111111113J. Braun—11881362
LOct 10 · 10:45J. Folwarski—115100J. Braun—1311123
WSep 9 · 15:10J. Folwarski—1111113J. Braun—9680
WMar 25 · 15:30J. Folwarski—111011113J. Braun—712961
J. Folwarski10
WSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113WAug 13 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.201111113K. Kolodziej4.338790LAug 13 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.3313711862M. Benes3.251111211113WAug 13 · 11:15J. Folwarski1.6171111113G. Felkel2.20118791WAug 13 · 10:00A. Abbasi2.637870J. Folwarski1.441111113WAug 13 · 08:40J. Folwarski1.141211113A. Daniel5.0010730WAug 13 · 07:15J. Folwarski1.441014119123M. Jadczyk2.631212711102LAug 13 · 06:10J. Folwarski1.449181131A. Abbasi2.6311205113WAug 13 · 04:05J. Folwarski1.221211113M. Domin4.0010560WAug 13 · 03:00J. Folwarski1.61101112113G. Felkel2.201251081
J. Braun10
LSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751LSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 12:05M. Nowalinski2.50115991J. Braun1.5021111113LSep 6 · 10:50S. Sporek2.75811711113J. Braun1.4011911562WSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741LSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:40S. Sporek2.751711102113J. Braun1.40157121192WSep 6 · 04:55J. Braun1.5011128113M. Nowalinski2.504101161WSep 6 · 03:45J. Braun2.0014911113S. Kolasa1.731211581
Upcoming Matches
J. Folwarski
Sep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 7 · 12:55J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 7 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.33S. Kolasa3.25—Sep 8 · 03:25J. Folwarski1.30M. Olejnik3.40—Sep 8 · 04:10J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 8 · 05:15J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 8 · 06:30J. Folwarski—A. Wiecek——Sep 8 · 07:45J. Folwarski—T. Spanik——
J. Braun
Nothing scheduled
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