TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12410941
Played Aug 13Finished
Amirreza Abbasi
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811711––––
Jakub Folwarski
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched — 73.5% is still 73.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Folwarski to win
73.5%
73.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAmirreza Abbasi above · Jakub Folwarski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Folwarski at 73.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Amirreza Abbasi 4–12 Jakub Folwarski Amirreza Abbasi has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:32What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Folwarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-12 in 16
Folwarski
Correct
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Abbasi 1911 vs Folwarski 2177
Folwarski
Correct
both rated, 266 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Abbasi 60% vs Folwarski 80%
Folwarski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Abbasi 50% vs Folwarski 80%
Folwarski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Abbasi -2 · Folwarski +3
Folwarski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Folwarski) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Folwarski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAbbasi 2.63 / Folwarski 1.44
Signal prob.25% / 76%
Edge (Folwarski)+11.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12410941
Abbasi2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back22% 15 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Folwarski1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite76% won 168 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it99% 69 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it89% 100 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAbbasi3wins
AwayFolwarski7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFolwarski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAbbasi66.7%2 of 3
AwayFolwarski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Abbasi3Folwarski7n = 10Folwarski took 7 of 10
S2Abbasi6Folwarski4n = 10Abbasi took 6 of 10
S3Abbasi3Folwarski7n = 10Folwarski took 7 of 10
S4Abbasi4Folwarski3n = 7Abbasi took 4 of 7
S5Abbasi1Folwarski3n = 4Folwarski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAbbasiFolwarskiA − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.341.9−6.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAbbasiFolwarskiBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 465 vs 299 / 40046.9%74.8%218 / 465 vs 299 / 400Avg sets wonper match1.92.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.240.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FolwarskiAbbasi 2.63/Folwarski 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.5%
Folwarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Folwarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 06:10A. Abbasi—11205113J. Folwarski—9181131
LAug 12 · 17:35A. Abbasi—71112672J. Folwarski—1181011113
LJul 16 · 09:40A. Abbasi—7460J. Folwarski—1111113
LJul 4 · 12:30A. Abbasi—5640J. Folwarski—1111113
WJun 3 · 12:00A. Abbasi—811411113J. Folwarski—11911892
LJun 3 · 04:20A. Abbasi—101281272J. Folwarski—12101110113
LMay 30 · 12:25A. Abbasi—116751J. Folwarski—91111113
LMay 30 · 05:05A. Abbasi—111171422J. Folwarski—1371112113
LMar 19 · 07:15A. Abbasi—641191J. Folwarski—11119113
WAug 21 · 04:20A. Abbasi—1111113J. Folwarski—9840
A. Abbasi10
LSep 2 · 16:59A. Abbasi6.004940V. Ursu1.111111113WSep 2 · 16:02A. Abbasi2.2511911113J. Park1.579111051WAug 30 · 17:00A. Abbasi—11114113P. Zatowka—461161LAug 29 · 17:15O. Kveton—131131163A. Abbasi—15911142WAug 29 · 16:45S. Belik—7550A. Abbasi—1111113LAug 28 · 18:18A. Abbasi1.736340M. Bobocica2.001111113LAug 28 · 17:32K. Zhou1.371211123A. Abbasi2.80109100WAug 23 · 14:10M. Nowalinski2.1081111992A. Abbasi1.67118511113WAug 23 · 13:20S. Dosz2.504119111A. Abbasi1.5011911133LAug 23 · 11:15P. David1.531611123A. Abbasi2.38144100
J. Folwarski10
WSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113WAug 13 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.201111113K. Kolodziej4.338790LAug 13 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.3313711862M. Benes3.251111211113WAug 13 · 11:15J. Folwarski1.6171111113G. Felkel2.20118791WAug 13 · 09:20J. Folwarski1.301111113J. Braun3.405540WAug 13 · 08:40J. Folwarski1.141211113A. Daniel5.0010730WAug 13 · 07:15J. Folwarski1.441014119123M. Jadczyk2.631212711102LAug 13 · 06:10J. Folwarski1.449181131A. Abbasi2.6311205113WAug 13 · 04:05J. Folwarski1.221211113M. Domin4.0010560WAug 13 · 03:00J. Folwarski1.61101112113G. Felkel2.201251081
Upcoming Matches
A. Abbasi
Nothing scheduled
J. Folwarski
Sep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 7 · 12:55J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 7 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.33S. Kolasa3.25—Sep 8 · 03:25J. Folwarski1.30M. Olejnik3.40—Sep 8 · 04:10J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 8 · 05:15J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 8 · 06:30J. Folwarski—A. Wiecek——Sep 8 · 07:45J. Folwarski—T. Spanik——
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