TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12475797
Played Aug 23Finished
Slawomir Dosz
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111199111113––
Amirreza Abbasi
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:48 and never touched — 71.3% is still 71.3%
Graded at full timeAmirreza Abbasi to win
71.3%
71.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSlawomir Dosz above · Amirreza Abbasi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 79 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Amirreza Abbasi at 71.3%
79 points played in total.
H2H Slawomir Dosz 5–13 Amirreza Abbasi Slawomir Dosz has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Abbasi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Abbasi
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1749 vs Abbasi 1915
Abbasi
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 0% vs Abbasi 60%
Abbasi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 20% vs Abbasi 70%
Abbasi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz -5 · Abbasi +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Abbasi) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 2.50 / Abbasi 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Abbasi)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12475797
Dosz2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Abbasi1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 76 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it89% 58 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz3wins
AwayAbbasi7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAbbasi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz50%2 of 4
AwayAbbasi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz4Abbasi6n = 10Abbasi took 6 of 10
S2Dosz5Abbasi5n = 10split evenly
S3Dosz3Abbasi7n = 10Abbasi took 7 of 10
S4Dosz1Abbasi3n = 4Abbasi took 3 of 4
S5Dosz1Abbasi2n = 3Abbasi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszAbbasiD − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.036.7−4.7per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszAbbasiBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 85 vs 213 / 45441.2%46.9%35 / 85 vs 213 / 454Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AbbasiDosz 2.50/Abbasi 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Abbasi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Abbasi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 13:45S. Dosz—51111653A. Abbasi—11571142
LAug 22 · 08:30S. Dosz—98110A. Abbasi—1111133
WOct 5 · 08:25S. Dosz—1113133A. Abbasi—911110
WOct 4 · 08:25S. Dosz—1111103A. Abbasi—7780
LJun 1 · 15:35S. Dosz—55120A. Abbasi—1111143
LJun 1 · 08:50S. Dosz—7970A. Abbasi—1111113
LMay 2 · 12:50S. Dosz—111861A. Abbasi—11711113
LMay 1 · 11:10S. Dosz—11119852A. Abbasi—681111113
LMay 1 · 06:40S. Dosz—5980A. Abbasi—1111113
LApr 15 · 13:40S. Dosz—146111162A. Abbasi—1211135113
S. Dosz10
LSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100WSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113LSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:20J. Zochniak2.80111177113S. Dosz1.3786111192LSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113LSep 4 · 06:30S. Dosz2.204711101A. Grela1.6111116123WSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871LSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591WSep 4 · 03:25S. Dosz2.2511311113D. Michna1.57911491
A. Abbasi10
LSep 2 · 16:59A. Abbasi6.004940V. Ursu1.111111113WSep 2 · 16:02A. Abbasi2.2511911113J. Park1.579111051WAug 30 · 17:00A. Abbasi—11114113P. Zatowka—461161LAug 29 · 17:15O. Kveton—131131163A. Abbasi—15911142WAug 29 · 16:45S. Belik—7550A. Abbasi—1111113LAug 28 · 18:18A. Abbasi1.736340M. Bobocica2.001111113LAug 28 · 17:32K. Zhou1.371211123A. Abbasi2.80109100WAug 23 · 14:10M. Nowalinski2.1081111992A. Abbasi1.67118511113LAug 23 · 11:15P. David1.531611123A. Abbasi2.38144100WAug 23 · 10:25M. Miastowski2.3861170A. Abbasi1.531113113
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