TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12475730
Played Aug 23Finished
Maksymilian Miastowski
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111113711––––
Amirreza Abbasi
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeAmirreza Abbasi to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
6111113711––––
H2H Maksymilian Miastowski 9–21 Amirreza Abbasi Maksymilian Miastowski has won 9 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:39What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Abbasi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-21 in 30
Abbasi
Correct
gap of 12 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miastowski 1887 vs Abbasi 1915
Abbasi
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miastowski 80% vs Abbasi 60%
Miastowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miastowski 60% vs Abbasi 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Miastowski +1 · Abbasi +3
Abbasi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Abbasi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miastowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiastowski 2.38 / Abbasi 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Abbasi)+3.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12475730
Miastowski2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 80 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Abbasi1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 76 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it89% 58 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiastowski5wins
AwayAbbasi5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiastowski75%3 of 4
AwayAbbasi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miastowski4Abbasi6n = 10Abbasi took 6 of 10
S2Miastowski3Abbasi7n = 10Abbasi took 7 of 10
S3Miastowski6Abbasi4n = 10Miastowski took 6 of 10
S4Miastowski5Abbasi3n = 8Miastowski took 5 of 8
S5Miastowski2Abbasi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiastowskiAbbasiM − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.539.4+2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiastowskiAbbasiBasisWin rate · lifetime580 / 1124 vs 213 / 45451.6%46.9%580 / 1124 vs 213 / 454Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AbbasiMiastowski 2.38/Abbasi 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.8%
Abbasi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Abbasi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 10 · 10:00M. Miastowski—1011111352A. Abbasi—1213811113
LJun 8 · 13:40M. Miastowski—971181A. Abbasi—11119113
WMay 2 · 12:25M. Miastowski—891111143A. Abbasi—111118122
WMay 2 · 04:00M. Miastowski—111311123A. Abbasi—9157101
WApr 5 · 15:10M. Miastowski—11117113A. Abbasi—441131
LMar 19 · 12:35M. Miastowski—11611982A. Abbasi—311711113
LOct 21 · 10:45M. Miastowski—9790A. Abbasi—1111113
WOct 20 · 05:25M. Miastowski—11149113A. Abbasi—8121141
WOct 15 · 10:45M. Miastowski—1011127113A. Abbasi—129101152
LSep 20 · 10:45M. Miastowski—6990A. Abbasi—1111113
M. Miastowski10
WAug 30 · 14:35M. Nowalinski1.83511713112M. Miastowski1.831141111133LAug 30 · 13:20M. Miastowski2.3871120T. Spanik1.531113113LAug 30 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.5711119113M. Miastowski2.25741191LAug 30 · 10:50M. Gawlas3.001112113M. Miastowski1.3681090LAug 30 · 09:20A. Daniel2.2091111113M. Miastowski1.61116561WAug 30 · 07:45M. Miastowski2.10211911113M. Jadczyk1.6711611982WAug 30 · 06:30M. Miastowski1.5711512113M. Nowalinski2.259111081WAug 30 · 05:15M. Miastowski2.251114113T. Spanik1.5761270LAug 30 · 04:10M. Gawlas3.4011111011113M. Miastowski1.3013912892LAug 30 · 03:25M. Miastowski1.676860A. Daniel2.101111113
A. Abbasi10
LSep 2 · 16:59A. Abbasi6.004940V. Ursu1.111111113WSep 2 · 16:02A. Abbasi2.2511911113J. Park1.579111051WAug 30 · 17:00A. Abbasi—11114113P. Zatowka—461161LAug 29 · 17:15O. Kveton—131131163A. Abbasi—15911142WAug 29 · 16:45S. Belik—7550A. Abbasi—1111113LAug 28 · 18:18A. Abbasi1.736340M. Bobocica2.001111113LAug 28 · 17:32K. Zhou1.371211123A. Abbasi2.80109100WAug 23 · 14:10M. Nowalinski2.1081111992A. Abbasi1.67118511113WAug 23 · 13:20S. Dosz2.504119111A. Abbasi1.5011911133LAug 23 · 11:15P. David1.531611123A. Abbasi2.38144100
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