TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12411692
Played Aug 13Finished
Jakub Folwarski
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111820115311––
Amirreza Abbasi
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:32 and never touched — 73.5% is still 73.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Folwarski to win
73.5%
73.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Folwarski above · Amirreza Abbasi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 18-20
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 88 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Jakub Folwarski at 73.5%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Folwarski 13–4 Amirreza Abbasi Amirreza Abbasi has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:32What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Folwarski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-4 in 17
Folwarski
Wrong
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Folwarski 2181 vs Abbasi 1912
Folwarski
Wrong
both rated, 269 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Folwarski 100% vs Abbasi 60%
Folwarski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Folwarski 90% vs Abbasi 60%
Folwarski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Folwarski +5 · Abbasi +1
Folwarski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Folwarski) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abbasi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFolwarski 1.44 / Abbasi 2.63
Signal prob.76% / 25%
Edge (Folwarski)+11.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12411692
Folwarski1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite76% won 174 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it99% 73 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it89% 104 of 117
Abbasi2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 45 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFolwarski8wins
AwayAbbasi2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFolwarski leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFolwarski87.5%7 of 8
AwayAbbasin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Folwarski8Abbasi2n = 10Folwarski took 8 of 10
S2Folwarski5Abbasi5n = 10split evenly
S3Folwarski8Abbasi2n = 10Folwarski took 8 of 10
S4Folwarski3Abbasi4n = 7Abbasi took 4 of 7
S5Folwarski3Abbasi1n = 4Folwarski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFolwarskiAbbasiF − ABasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.134.2+8.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFolwarskiAbbasiBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 404 vs 217 / 46274.8%47%302 / 404 vs 217 / 462Avg sets wonper match2.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FolwarskiFolwarski 1.44/Abbasi 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.5%
Folwarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Abbasi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 10:00J. Folwarski—1111113A. Abbasi—7870
LAug 13 · 06:10J. Folwarski—9181131A. Abbasi—11205113
WAug 12 · 17:35J. Folwarski—1181011113A. Abbasi—71112672
WJul 16 · 09:40J. Folwarski—1111113A. Abbasi—7460
WJul 4 · 12:30J. Folwarski—1111113A. Abbasi—5640
LJun 3 · 12:00J. Folwarski—11911892A. Abbasi—811411113
WJun 3 · 04:20J. Folwarski—12101110113A. Abbasi—101281272
WMay 30 · 12:25J. Folwarski—91111113A. Abbasi—116751
WMay 30 · 05:05J. Folwarski—1371112113A. Abbasi—111171422
WMar 19 · 07:15J. Folwarski—11119113A. Abbasi—641191
J. Folwarski10
WSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113WAug 13 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.201111113K. Kolodziej4.338790LAug 13 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.3313711862M. Benes3.251111211113WAug 13 · 11:15J. Folwarski1.6171111113G. Felkel2.20118791WAug 13 · 10:00A. Abbasi2.637870J. Folwarski1.441111113WAug 13 · 09:20J. Folwarski1.301111113J. Braun3.405540WAug 13 · 08:40J. Folwarski1.141211113A. Daniel5.0010730WAug 13 · 07:15J. Folwarski1.441014119123M. Jadczyk2.631212711102WAug 13 · 04:05J. Folwarski1.221211113M. Domin4.0010560WAug 13 · 03:00J. Folwarski1.61101112113G. Felkel2.201251081
A. Abbasi10
LSep 2 · 16:59A. Abbasi6.004940V. Ursu1.111111113WSep 2 · 16:02A. Abbasi2.2511911113J. Park1.579111051WAug 30 · 17:00A. Abbasi—11114113P. Zatowka—461161LAug 29 · 17:15O. Kveton—131131163A. Abbasi—15911142WAug 29 · 16:45S. Belik—7550A. Abbasi—1111113LAug 28 · 18:18A. Abbasi1.736340M. Bobocica2.001111113LAug 28 · 17:32K. Zhou1.371211123A. Abbasi2.80109100WAug 23 · 14:10M. Nowalinski2.1081111992A. Abbasi1.67118511113WAug 23 · 13:20S. Dosz2.504119111A. Abbasi1.5011911133LAug 13 · 10:00A. Abbasi2.637870J. Folwarski1.441111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Folwarski
Sep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 7 · 12:55J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 7 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.33S. Kolasa3.25—Sep 8 · 03:25J. Folwarski1.30M. Olejnik3.40—Sep 8 · 04:10J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 8 · 05:15J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 8 · 06:30J. Folwarski—A. Wiecek——Sep 8 · 07:45J. Folwarski—T. Spanik——
A. Abbasi
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