TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12413724
Played Aug 13Finished
Jakub Folwarski
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210115116––––
Maciej Domin
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:15 and never touched — 83.6% is still 83.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Folwarski to win
83.6%
83.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Folwarski above · Maciej Domin below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Folwarski at 83.6%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Folwarski 3–0 Maciej Domin Maciej Domin has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Folwarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Folwarski
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Folwarski 2176 vs Domin 1881
Folwarski
Correct
both rated, 295 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Folwarski 80% vs Domin 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Folwarski 90% vs Domin 60%
Folwarski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Folwarski +4 · Domin +1
Folwarski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Folwarski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Domin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFolwarski 1.22 / Domin 4.00
Signal prob.84% / 16%
Edge (Folwarski)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12413724
Folwarski1.22
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite76% won 162 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it99% 68 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it89% 98 of 110
Domin4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 69 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back25% 22 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeFolwarski3wins
AwayDomin0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderFolwarski leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Folwarski2Domin1n = 3Folwarski took 2 of 3
S2Folwarski2Domin1n = 3Folwarski took 2 of 3
S3Folwarski2Domin1n = 3Folwarski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricFolwarskiDominF − DBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.034.3+6.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFolwarskiDominBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 395 vs 512 / 97474.7%52.6%295 / 395 vs 512 / 974Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FolwarskiFolwarski 1.22/Domin 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.6%
Folwarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Folwarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 8 · 13:45J. Folwarski—911811113M. Domin—11711592
WAug 8 · 08:30J. Folwarski—11512123M. Domin—61110101
WJan 31 · 08:15J. Folwarski—1111113M. Domin—6890
J. Folwarski10
WSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113WAug 13 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.201111113K. Kolodziej4.338790LAug 13 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.3313711862M. Benes3.251111211113WAug 13 · 11:15J. Folwarski1.6171111113G. Felkel2.20118791WAug 13 · 10:00A. Abbasi2.637870J. Folwarski1.441111113WAug 13 · 09:20J. Folwarski1.301111113J. Braun3.405540WAug 13 · 08:40J. Folwarski1.141211113A. Daniel5.0010730WAug 13 · 07:15J. Folwarski1.441014119123M. Jadczyk2.631212711102LAug 13 · 06:10J. Folwarski1.449181131A. Abbasi2.6311205113WAug 13 · 03:00J. Folwarski1.61101112113G. Felkel2.201251081
M. Domin10
WSep 6 · 14:10S. Sporek1.8011911181M. Domin1.9171113203WSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:25M. Nowalinski1.5711511113M. Domin2.25911791LSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162LSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113WSep 6 · 04:10S. Sporek2.101178101M. Domin1.6781111123WSep 6 · 03:25M. Domin2.2512511113M. Nowalinski1.571011841
Upcoming Matches
J. Folwarski
Sep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 7 · 12:55J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 7 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.33S. Kolasa3.25—Sep 8 · 03:25J. Folwarski1.30M. Olejnik3.40—Sep 8 · 04:10J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 8 · 05:15J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 8 · 06:30J. Folwarski—A. Wiecek——Sep 8 · 07:45J. Folwarski—T. Spanik——
M. Domin
Nothing scheduled
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