TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12413705
Played Aug 13Finished
Jakub Folwarski
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117119––––
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:12 and never touched — 85.3% is still 85.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Folwarski to win
85.3%
85.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Folwarski above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Folwarski at 85.3%
57 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:12What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Folwarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Folwarski 2181 vs Kolodziej 1887
Folwarski
Correct
both rated, 294 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Folwarski 80% vs Kolodziej 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Folwarski 80% vs Kolodziej 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Folwarski -1 · Kolodziej +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Folwarski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFolwarski 1.20 / Kolodziej 4.33
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Folwarski)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12413705
Folwarski1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite76% won 168 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it99% 69 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it89% 100 of 112
Kolodziej4.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 66 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back23% 22 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricFolwarskiKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 404 vs 1302 / 191874.8%67.9%302 / 404 vs 1302 / 1918Avg sets wonper match2.52.4per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FolwarskiFolwarski 1.20/Kolodziej 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.3%
Folwarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Folwarski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Folwarski10
WSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113LAug 13 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.3313711862M. Benes3.251111211113WAug 13 · 11:15J. Folwarski1.6171111113G. Felkel2.20118791WAug 13 · 10:00A. Abbasi2.637870J. Folwarski1.441111113WAug 13 · 09:20J. Folwarski1.301111113J. Braun3.405540WAug 13 · 08:40J. Folwarski1.141211113A. Daniel5.0010730WAug 13 · 07:15J. Folwarski1.441014119123M. Jadczyk2.631212711102LAug 13 · 06:10J. Folwarski1.449181131A. Abbasi2.6311205113WAug 13 · 04:05J. Folwarski1.221211113M. Domin4.0010560WAug 13 · 03:00J. Folwarski1.61101112113G. Felkel2.201251081
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113LSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123WSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752WSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113
Upcoming Matches
J. Folwarski
Sep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 7 · 12:55J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 7 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.33S. Kolasa3.25—Sep 8 · 03:25J. Folwarski1.30M. Olejnik3.40—Sep 8 · 04:10J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 8 · 05:15J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 8 · 06:30J. Folwarski—A. Wiecek——Sep 8 · 07:45J. Folwarski—T. Spanik——
K. Kolodziej
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