TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12410763
Played Aug 13Finished
Jakub Folwarski
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117113––––
Artur Daniel
Away
5.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:42 and never touched — 92.4% is still 92.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Folwarski to win
92.4%
92.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Folwarski above · Artur Daniel below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 54 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Jakub Folwarski at 92.4%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Folwarski 10–0 Artur Daniel Artur Daniel has won 0 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Folwarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-0 in 10
Folwarski
Correct
gap of 10 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Folwarski 2167 vs Daniel 1795
Folwarski
Correct
both rated, 372 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Folwarski 80% vs Daniel 60%
Folwarski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Folwarski 80% vs Daniel 60%
Folwarski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Folwarski +1 · Daniel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 92% — Strong (leans Folwarski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Daniel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFolwarski 1.14 / Daniel 5.00
Signal prob.92% / 8%
Edge (Folwarski)+11.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12410763
Folwarski1.14
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite76% won 168 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it99% 69 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it89% 100 of 112
Daniel5.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 79 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back17% 23 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFolwarski10wins
AwayDaniel0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFolwarski leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFolwarski100%7 of 7
AwayDaniel0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Folwarski7Daniel3n = 10Folwarski took 7 of 10
S2Folwarski10Daniel0n = 10Folwarski took 10 of 10
S3Folwarski6Daniel4n = 10Folwarski took 6 of 10
S4Folwarski6Daniel0n = 6Folwarski took 6 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFolwarskiDanielF − DBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.130.1+10.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFolwarskiDanielBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 398 vs 810 / 150174.6%54%297 / 398 vs 810 / 1501Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FolwarskiFolwarski 1.14/Daniel 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
92.4%
Folwarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Folwarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 16 · 10:25J. Folwarski—11118113A. Daniel—571151
WJul 16 · 07:20J. Folwarski—1013911113A. Daniel—121111982
WMay 16 · 11:35J. Folwarski—1111113A. Daniel—9490
WMay 16 · 08:25J. Folwarski—1111113A. Daniel—8590
WNov 7 · 12:10J. Folwarski—91111113A. Daniel—115831
WNov 7 · 06:40J. Folwarski—1111113A. Daniel—5880
WOct 11 · 14:50J. Folwarski—121111123A. Daniel—1493101
WOct 11 · 09:35J. Folwarski—11119113A. Daniel—891171
WFeb 14 · 16:35J. Folwarski—111111113A. Daniel—991371
WFeb 14 · 10:10J. Folwarski—1111113A. Daniel—8940
J. Folwarski10
WSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113WAug 13 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.201111113K. Kolodziej4.338790LAug 13 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.3313711862M. Benes3.251111211113WAug 13 · 11:15J. Folwarski1.6171111113G. Felkel2.20118791WAug 13 · 10:00A. Abbasi2.637870J. Folwarski1.441111113WAug 13 · 09:20J. Folwarski1.301111113J. Braun3.405540WAug 13 · 07:15J. Folwarski1.441014119123M. Jadczyk2.631212711102LAug 13 · 06:10J. Folwarski1.449181131A. Abbasi2.6311205113WAug 13 · 04:05J. Folwarski1.221211113M. Domin4.0010560WAug 13 · 03:00J. Folwarski1.61101112113G. Felkel2.201251081
A. Daniel10
WSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592LSep 4 · 19:40A. Daniel1.3311114992T. Filbrandt3.25651111113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113WSep 4 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.0071141182A. Daniel1.73119119113WSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591WSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682LSep 4 · 10:05A. Daniel1.3711911982J. Zochniak2.75611911113LSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133
Upcoming Matches
J. Folwarski
Sep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 7 · 12:55J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 7 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.33S. Kolasa3.25—Sep 8 · 03:25J. Folwarski1.30M. Olejnik3.40—Sep 8 · 04:10J. Folwarski1.57J. Kosowski2.25—Sep 8 · 05:15J. Folwarski1.61P. David2.20—Sep 8 · 06:30J. Folwarski—A. Wiecek——Sep 8 · 07:45J. Folwarski—T. Spanik——
A. Daniel
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.