TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087235
Played Sep 7Finished
Szymon Kolasa
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111121151012118
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:59 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeSzymon Kolasa to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSzymon Kolasa above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 85 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Szymon Kolasa at 54.9%
85 points played in total.
H2H Szymon Kolasa 9–1 Krystian Kolodziej Krystian Kolodziej has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolasa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-1 in 10
Kolasa
Correct
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolasa 1872 vs Kolodziej 1888
Kolodziej
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolasa 40% vs Kolodziej 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolasa 50% vs Kolodziej 70%
Kolodziej
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolasa -2 · Kolodziej +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kolasa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolasa form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolasa 1.73 / Kolodziej 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kolasa)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13087235
Kolasa1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite74% won 69 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it91% 53 of 58
Kolodziej2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 72 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolasa9wins
AwayKolodziej1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolasa leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolasa100%4 of 4
AwayKolodziej16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolasa4Kolodziej6n = 10Kolodziej took 6 of 10
S2Kolasa8Kolodziej2n = 10Kolasa took 8 of 10
S3Kolasa9Kolodziej1n = 10Kolasa took 9 of 10
S4Kolasa5Kolodziej3n = 8Kolasa took 5 of 8
S5Kolasa3Kolodziej1n = 4Kolasa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolasaKolodziejKolasa − KolodziejBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.137.7+4.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolasaKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 532 vs 1314 / 195254.7%67.3%291 / 532 vs 1314 / 1952Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolasaKolasa 1.73/Kolodziej 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Kolasa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolasa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 12:05S. Kolasa—611119123K. Kolodziej—118711102
WJul 30 · 11:40S. Kolasa—511113113K. Kolodziej—11571162
WJul 2 · 09:00S. Kolasa—1211113K. Kolodziej—10690
WJan 23 · 20:25S. Kolasa—11314123K. Kolodziej—81112101
LOct 10 · 16:20S. Kolasa—810111362K. Kolodziej—1112611113
WAug 24 · 20:40S. Kolasa—1111143K. Kolodziej—99120
WAug 17 · 19:50S. Kolasa—711118113K. Kolodziej—11671172
WMay 22 · 18:35S. Kolasa—61213113K. Kolodziej—11101181
WMar 9 · 20:50S. Kolasa—111211113K. Kolodziej—5101381
WMar 2 · 21:15S. Kolasa—51111113K. Kolodziej—113741
S. Kolasa10
LSep 7 · 13:45S. Kolasa3.251638101J. Folwarski1.33141111123LSep 7 · 10:00P. David1.73141711113S. Kolasa2.001219361LSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113WSep 7 · 08:30S. Kolasa1.4011115113G. Poliniewicz2.75381141WSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113LSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991LSep 8 · 13:20A. Wiecek1.361011177113K. Kolodziej3.00127151172WSep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3311711142K. Kolodziej3.25911911113WSep 8 · 10:25M. Olejnik1.50111111792K. Kolodziej2.50136811113LSep 8 · 09:00T. Spanik1.611113113K. Kolodziej2.2051180WSep 7 · 11:40P. David1.3061381162K. Kolodziej3.401111115113LSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113LSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113
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